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Estoril U19 vs Alverca U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 game between Estoril U19 and Alverca U19 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estoril U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Estoril U19
20%
Draws
20%
Alverca U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estoril U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Estoril U19 haven't matched Alverca U19's recent run of results.
  • Estoril U19 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Estoril U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estoril U19 Alverca U19
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Estoril U19
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Estoril U19 vs Alverca U19
1:1
Nov 5, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Estoril U19 vs Alverca U19
2:4
Aug 12, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Estoril U19
1:1
Apr 22, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Estoril U19
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estoril U19 40 / 100
Alverca U19 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estoril U19 Alverca U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estoril U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estoril U19 found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Alverca U19 has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Alverca U19 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alverca U19
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estoril U19

(Home)
25 May
Beira Mar U19
2 : 0
Estoril U19
18 May
Estoril U19
2 : 3
Belenenses U19
11 May
Alverca U19
0 : 1
Estoril U19
04 May
Estoril U19
0 : 2
SC Lusitania U19
27 Apr
Torreense U19
0 : 1
Estoril U19
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Alverca U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1
Casa Pia U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3
SC Farense U19
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