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Estoril U23 vs Moreirense U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Assis A.
68' Event
Luz E.
90' Event
Dias M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Next Gen U23 game between Estoril U23 and Moreirense U23 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estoril U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Estoril U23
35%
Draws
25%
Moreirense U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Estoril U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estoril U23 come out ahead of Moreirense U23 on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Estoril U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Estoril U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Moreirense U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estoril U23 Moreirense U23
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 11 1
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 1
Goals Scored 1.47 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Estoril U23 vs Moreirense U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estoril U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Luz E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dias M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Moreirense U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Assis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estoril U23 49 / 100
Moreirense U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estoril U23 Moreirense U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estoril U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Estoril U23 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Moreirense U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 7 matches.

Recent resilience: Estoril U23 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Estoril U23 VS Moreirense U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estoril U23

(Home)
09 Oct
Estoril U23
1 : 0
Sporting CP U23
05 Oct
Torreense U23
2 : 3
Estoril U23
22 Sept
Academico Viseu U23
1 : 1
Estoril U23
08 Sept
Estoril U23
4 : 2
Famalicao U23
01 Sept
FC Felgueiras U23
2 : 2
Estoril U23
Page 1 of 6

Moreirense U23

(Away)
06 Oct
Rio Ave U23
1 : 1
Moreirense U23
19 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 2
Moreirense U23
14 Sept
Moreirense U23
1 : 1
Braga U23
08 Sept
Academico Viseu U23
1 : 3
Moreirense U23
01 Sept
Moreirense U23
0 : 0
Portimonense U23
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U23 7 4 3 0 15:9 15
2 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
3 Estoril U23 7 3 4 0 16:12 13
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)