Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2025/2026 Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Estoril

1 - 2

Famalicao

Our Tip

Match Events

Tsoungui A.

Own Goal

58'

Sub

Sanchez R. In: Orellana A.

Out: Sanchez R.

58'

Sub

Pizzi In: Begraoui Y.

Out: Pizzi

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Famalicao advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Estoril

35%

Draws

56%

Famalicao

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Famalicao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence

Famalicao carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Famalicao a 56% chance of winning this.
Famalicao arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Famalicao, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and Famalicao have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Estoril Clean Sheet 24%

Famalicao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Estoril	Famalicao
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	7	12
Draws	8	12
Losses	15	5
Goals Scored	1.27	1.28
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.72
Expected Goals (xG)	0.69	0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Liga Portugal

Estoril vs Famalicao

1:1

Apr 26, 2026 Liga Portugal

Estoril vs Famalicao

0:1

Dec 14, 2025 Liga Portugal

Famalicao vs Estoril

4:0

Nov 22, 2025 Taça de Portugal

Estoril vs Famalicao

1:2

Apr 12, 2025 Liga Portugal

Famalicao vs Estoril

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estoril Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.53

Avg xA / game 0.34

Famalicao Compare

Top Goalscorer Francisco P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.85

Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estoril 13 / 100

Famalicao 86 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Estoril Famalicao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Famalicao Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estoril's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Famalicao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Estoril went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estoril VS Famalicao

0.38 Goals Scored 0.75

1.13 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 38%

13% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estoril

(Home)

20 Sept

Estoril

1 : 2

Casa Pia

14 Sept

Braga

1 : 0

Estoril

07 Sept

Estoril

0 : 0

Arouca

31 Aug

Benfica

2 : 1

Estoril

22 Aug

Estoril

0 : 2

Rio Ave

Page 1 of 6

Famalicao

(Away)

19 Sept

Nacional

0 : 4

Famalicao

13 Sept

Famalicao

1 : 1

Sporting CP

05 Sept

Estrela da Amadora

2 : 2

Famalicao

30 Aug

Famalicao

0 : 0

Gil Vicente

23 Aug

Santa Clara

1 : 0

Famalicao

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Florgrade 0

SC Espinho 1

TBD -

Almodovar -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Industria 1

Juv. Evora 0

SC Salgueiros 4

AD Pontassolense 2

Trofense 5

Varzim 1

Valenciano 1

SC Vianense 4

GD Os Nazarenos 1

GD Sourense 0

TBD -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Moncarapachense 3

Viana Alentejo 0

Castro Daire 1

Anadia 2

Marinhense 2

Samora Correia 1

TBD -

Mosteirense -

Uniao Lamas -

TBD -

Urzelinense 0

Malveira 6

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Carregal do Sal 1

Mortagua FC 2

Academica 0

Os Marialvas 1

Portimonense B -

TBD -

Penafiel -

Fornos de Algodres -

TBD -

Charneca Caparica 1

Montijo 0

TBD -

AFS -

Portalegrense -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Celoricense 1

CD Celeiros 0

TBD -

Mafra -

TBD -

FC Porto -

Sintrense -

TBD -

Vizela -

TBD -

Rio Ave -

CF Os Belenenses 1

Amora 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

TBD -

Estoril -

Sao Joao de Ver -

TBD -

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2

Lagoa 1

TBD -

Famalicao -

Cinfaes 0

AD Marco 09 1

SC Lusitania 0

O Elvas CAD 3

Vidago -

TBD -

SC Farense -

Silves FC -

TBD -

Oliveira Hospital -

Louletano -

TBD -

Operario -

Atletico CP -

TBD -

Rebordosa 2

Leca 0

Sanjoanense -

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Paredes -

TBD -

Chaves -

TBD -

Benfica -

UD Ovarense 7

SC Celoricense 1

TBD -

Covilha -

Uniao Nogueirense -

TBD -

Aguias do Moradal -

CD Lajense 1

Lusitano GC 7

Serpa 3

Portel 0

Fayal 0

Olivais e Moscavide 5

TBD -

Uniao Da Serra -

Oriental 2

GD Alcochetense 1

TBD -

AD Fafe -

TBD -

Moreirense -

Vitoria Sernache -

TBD -

Portimonense -

TBD -

Arouca -

Sao Martinho 1

Machico 2

SC Vila Real 3

Camacha 2

TBD -

Tondela -

Caldas SC 4

AD Portomosense 0

TBD -

Fatima -

Fazendense -

TBD -

SC Mirandela -

GD Braganca -

TBD -

Maria de Fonte 1

Brito 2

TBD -

Braga -

Rebordelo -

TBD -

CD Gouveia 4

Beira Mar 2

TBD -

Nacional -

FC Alpendorada -

TBD -

Estrela Calheta -

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Anca -

TBD -

Vinhais -

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Castrense 1

CDR Quarteirense 0

TBD -

Lusitania FC -

GD Resende -

TBD -

Feirense -

Correlha 2

Valpacos 0

TBD -

Torreense -

Vilaverdense FC 0

Desportivo Moncao 1

TBD -

Oliveirense -

AD Limianos -

TBD -

Aparecida 1

Vila Mea 3

Vila Caiz 1

CD Ribeira Brava 0

TBD -

Electrico FC -

Tirsense 1

Amarante FC 2

TBD -

Santarem -

Naval 1893 3

Ac. Fundao 0

TBD -

Leixoes -

GD Peniche 8

Ferreira do Zezere 0

Lajense 0

1º Dezembro 1

SB Castelo Branco -

TBD -

SC Angrense -

Sacavenense 7

CD Rabo Peixe 0

TBD -

Leiria -

TBD -

Alverca -

1/64-finals

SC Espinho 5

Almodovar 1

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Industria 4

SC Salgueiros 2

Trofense 2

SC Vianense 3

GD Os Nazarenos 0

Pacos Ferreira 1

TBD -

Sporting CP -

Moncarapachense 1

Anadia 2

Marinhense 6

Mosteirense 0

Uniao Lamas 2

Malveira 1

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Mortagua FC 1

Os Marialvas 0

Portimonense B 2

Penafiel 1

Fornos de Algodres 3

Charneca Caparica 1

TBD -

AFS -

Portalegrense 0

Academico Viseu 3

TBD -

Gil Vicente -

Celoricense 1

Mafra 0

TBD -

FC Porto -

Sintrense 2

Vizela 1

TBD -

Rio Ave -

CF Os Belenenses 2

Maritimo 0

TBD -

Estoril -

Sao Joao de Ver 6

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 2

TBD -

Famalicao -

AD Marco 09 1

O Elvas CAD 0

Vidago 0

SC Farense 2

Silves FC 3

Oliveira Hospital 2

Louletano 5

Operario 0

Atletico CP 1

Rebordosa 0

Sanjoanense 0

FC Felgueiras 4

Paredes 0

Chaves 2

TBD -

Benfica -

UD Ovarense 2

Covilha 3

Uniao Nogueirense 1

Aguias do Moradal 0

Lusitano GC 1

Serpa 0

Olivais e Moscavide 2

Uniao Da Serra 0

Oriental 0

AD Fafe 1

TBD -

Moreirense -

Vitoria Sernache 1

Portimonense 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Machico 0

SC Vila Real 2

TBD -

Tondela -

Caldas SC 3

Fatima 0

Fazendense 1

SC Mirandela 2

GD Braganca 5

Brito 0

TBD -

Braga -

Rebordelo 3

CD Gouveia 2

TBD -

Nacional -

FC Alpendorada 7

Estrela Calheta 1

TBD -

Estrela da Amadora -

Anca 3

Vinhais 1

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Castrense 0

Lusitania FC 5

GD Resende 1

Feirense 0

Correlha 1

Torreense 3

Desportivo Moncao 1

Oliveirense 3

AD Limianos 0

Vila Mea 4

Vila Caiz 3

Electrico FC 2

Amarante FC 2

Santarem 0

Naval 1893 0

Leixoes 1

GD Peniche 4

1º Dezembro 5

SB Castelo Branco 7

SC Angrense 1

Sacavenense 2

Leiria 4

TBD -

Alverca -

1/32-finals

SC Espinho 0

Santa Clara 1

Industria 3

SC Vianense 0

Pacos Ferreira 2

Sporting CP 3

Anadia 0

Marinhense 1

Uniao Lamas 0

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Mortagua FC 2

Portimonense B 0

Fornos de Algodres 0

AFS 7

Academico Viseu 2

Gil Vicente 1

Celoricense 0

FC Porto 4

Sintrense 3

Rio Ave 2

CF Os Belenenses 1

Estoril 2

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Famalicao 3

AD Marco 09 0

SC Farense 3

Silves FC 2

Louletano 1

Atletico CP 2

FC Felgueiras 0

Chaves 0

Benfica 2

Covilha 1

Uniao Nogueirense 0

Lusitano GC 4

Olivais e Moscavide 1

AD Fafe 1

Moreirense 0

Portimonense 1

Arouca 2

SC Vila Real 1

Tondela 5

Caldas SC 1

SC Mirandela 0

GD Braganca 0

Braga 1

Rebordelo 1

Nacional 3

FC Alpendorada 3

Estrela da Amadora 1

Anca 0

Casa Pia 3

Lusitania FC 2

GD Resende 0

Torreense 2

Oliveirense 1

Vila Mea 1

Vila Caiz 0

Amarante FC 1

Leixoes 2

1º Dezembro 2

SB Castelo Branco 1

Leiria 3

Alverca 2

1/16-finals

Santa Clara 3

Industria 0

Sporting CP 3

Marinhense 0

Vitoria Guimaraes 4

Mortagua FC 0

AFS 1

Academico Viseu 0

FC Porto 3

Sintrense 0

Estoril 1

Famalicao 2

SC Farense 5

Silves FC 1

Atletico CP 0

Benfica 2

Covilha 0

Lusitano GC 2

AD Fafe 2

Arouca 1

Tondela 0

Caldas SC 1

Braga 4

Nacional 2

FC Alpendorada 0

Casa Pia 3

Lusitania FC 0

Torreense 1

Vila Mea 2

Leixoes 1

1º Dezembro 1

Leiria 3

1/8-finals

Santa Clara 2

Sporting CP 3

Vitoria Guimaraes 0

AFS 1

FC Porto 4

Famalicao 1

SC Farense 0

Benfica 2

Lusitano GC 0

AD Fafe 1

Caldas SC 0

Braga 3

Casa Pia 1

Torreense 2

Vila Mea 0

Leiria 1

Quarter-finals

Sporting CP 3

AFS 2

FC Porto 1

Benfica 0

AD Fafe 2

Braga 1

Torreense 3

Leiria 1

Semi-finals

Sporting CP 1

FC Porto 0

AD Fafe 1

Torreense 3

Final

Sporting CP 1

Torreense 2

Estoril vs Famalicao

Portugal

Estoril

Famalicao

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Estoril Compare

Famalicao Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Estoril

Famalicao

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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