Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estoril vs Tomar

Portugal Portugal

Primeira Liga 1975/1976
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primeira Liga 1975/1976 game between Estoril and Tomar finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estoril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Estoril
20%
Draws
48%
Tomar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tomar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Estoril carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Estoril taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Estoril Clean Sheet 20%
Tomar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estoril Tomar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.33 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 1976 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs Tomar
2:0
Dec 21, 1975 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Estoril
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estoril 67 / 100
Tomar 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estoril Tomar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estoril Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomar let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Estoril scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Tomar's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Estoril VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Estoril

(Home)
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0
Arouca
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1
Estoril
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2
Rio Ave
16 Aug
Nacional
2 : 0
Estoril
07 Aug
Estoril
1 : 1
Famalicao
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Tomar

(Away)
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Tomar
0 : 2
Sertanense
09 Mar
Tomar
1 : 0
Alverca B
03 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Tomar
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