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Estradense vs Atletico Arteixo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Martinez P.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Atletico Arteixo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Estradense
35%
Draws
32%
Atletico Arteixo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Arteixo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Atletico Arteixo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico Arteixo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Estradense Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Arteixo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estradense Atletico Arteixo
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 14 19
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.41 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Arteixo vs Estradense
1:1
May 23, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Arteixo vs Estradense
2:2
May 16, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Atletico Arteixo
0:1
Mar 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Arteixo vs Estradense
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Atletico Arteixo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estradense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Atletico Arteixo Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estradense 41 / 100
Atletico Arteixo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estradense Atletico Arteixo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estradense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estradense's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Atletico Arteixo has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Estradense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estradense VS Atletico Arteixo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estradense

(Home)
20 Sept
Estradense
3 : 1
Montaneros
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Arteixo

(Away)
20 Sept
Viveiro
0 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
05 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0
Atletico Arteixo
07 Jun
Compostela
2 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
31 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 1
Compostela
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Compostela 6
Racing Club Villalbes 1
Atletico Arteixo 3
Estradense 2
Final
Compostela 3
Atletico Arteixo 3