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Estrela Calheta vs Cinfaes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Nunes B.
40' Event
Faria R.
52' Event
Gabriel Oliveira
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B game between Estrela Calheta and Cinfaes finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Estrela Calheta
35%
Draws
46%
Cinfaes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cinfaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Estrela Calheta haven't matched Cinfaes's recent run of results.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Estrela Calheta Clean Sheet 10%
Cinfaes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela Calheta Cinfaes
Matches Played 13 31
Wins 2 13
Draws 3 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 0.69 1.35
Goals Conceded 2 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Estrela Calheta vs Cinfaes
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrela Calheta Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunes B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.33

Cinfaes Compare

Top Goalscorer Faria R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela Calheta 30 / 100
Cinfaes 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela Calheta Cinfaes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cinfaes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Estrela Calheta scored in 54% of their last 13 games.

Defensive concern: Cinfaes conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Estrela Calheta went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela Calheta VS Cinfaes
0.57 Goals Scored 2
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela Calheta

(Home)
04 Oct
Castro Daire
3 : 0
Estrela Calheta
27 Sept
Estrela Calheta
2 : 2
Cinfaes
20 Sept
Estrela Calheta
1 : 3
SC Vianense
13 Sept
Estrela Calheta
0 : 3
UD Ovarense
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
Page 1 of 3

Cinfaes

(Away)
27 Sept
Estrela Calheta
2 : 2
Cinfaes
20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4
Leixoes
13 Sept
SC Salgueiros
1 : 0
Cinfaes
06 Sept
Cinfaes
2 : 2
Beira Mar
30 Aug
Cinfaes
1 : 0
SC Espinho
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Ovarense 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Machico 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Camacha 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
4 Castro Daire 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
5 Florgrade 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
6 SC Salgueiros 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Cinfaes 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
8 Sanjoanense 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
9 Uniao Lamas 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Beira Mar 4 0 3 1 4:6 3
11 FC Alpendorada 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
12 Estrela Calheta 4 0 2 2 2:8 2
13 Guarda FC 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
14 Sousense 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)