Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estrela da Amadora U23 vs SC Farense U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Next Gen U23
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estrela da Amadora U23 host SC Farense U23 in the Liga Next Gen U23. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Estrela da Amadora U23 have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against SC Farense U23's 1.45 scored and 1.1 conceded. Head-to-head, Estrela da Amadora U23 have won 1 to SC Farense U23's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.63, favoring SC Farense U23. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Estrela da Amadora U23
30%
Draws
41%
SC Farense U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Farense U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • SC Farense U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Estrela da Amadora U23 taking it.
  • Regular Liga Next Gen U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Estrela da Amadora U23 Clean Sheet 14%
SC Farense U23 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora U23 SC Farense U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
SC Farense U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
1:0
Jan 28, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs SC Farense U23
2:1
Nov 19, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
SC Farense U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
4:0
Oct 21, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs SC Farense U23
0:2
Nov 6, 2024 Liga Next Gen U23
SC Farense U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora U23 41 / 100
SC Farense U23 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora U23 SC Farense U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela da Amadora U23 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

SC Farense U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Estrela da Amadora U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora U23 VS SC Farense U23
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela da Amadora U23

(Home)
06 Oct
FC Felgueiras U23
3 : 1
Estrela da Amadora U23
19 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 2
Moreirense U23
08 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 0
Leiria U23
01 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
1 : 2
Sporting CP U23
25 Aug
Maritimo U23
0 : 0
Estrela da Amadora U23
Page 1 of 6

SC Farense U23

(Away)
21 Sept
Vizela U23
2 : 0
SC Farense U23
15 Sept
SC Farense U23
1 : 1
Leixoes U23
09 Sept
Santa Clara U23
1 : 0
SC Farense U23
01 Sept
SC Farense U23
4 : 3
Famalicao U23
25 Aug
Portimonense U23
1 : 2
SC Farense U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estoril U23 8 4 4 0 17:12 16
2 Sporting CP U23 8 4 3 1 15:10 15
3 Academico Viseu U23 7 4 2 1 14:10 14
4 Rio Ave U23 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
5 FC Felgueiras U23 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
6 SC Farense U23 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
7 Braga U23 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
8 Vizela U23 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Benfica U23 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
10 Santa Clara U23 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
11 Gil Vicente U23 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
12 Moreirense U23 7 1 5 1 10:9 8
13 Famalicao U23 7 2 2 3 13:15 8
14 Leiria U23 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
15 Leixoes U23 7 1 3 3 12:12 6
16 Torreense U23 6 1 3 2 9:12 6
17 Penafiel U23 7 0 5 2 9:11 5
18 Estrela da Amadora U23 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
19 Portimonense U23 7 0 4 3 4:9 4
20 Maritimo U23 7 0 3 4 5:12 3
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)