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Estrela da Amadora vs Al Nassr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Serra S.
25' Event
Antonetti L.
Assist: Marcus A.
38'
Angelo

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Estrela da Amadora and Al Nassr finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estrela da Amadora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Estrela da Amadora
30%
Draws
33%
Al Nassr
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estrela da Amadora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Al Nassr carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Estrela da Amadora are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 10%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora Al Nassr
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 8 17
Draws 10 2
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.43 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Estrela da Amadora vs Al Nassr
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrela da Amadora Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonetti L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcus A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Al Nassr Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Hamdan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulkareem H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora 47 / 100
Al Nassr 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora Al Nassr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela da Amadora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Estrela da Amadora scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Al Nassr let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

Solid form: Estrela da Amadora remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora VS Al Nassr
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela da Amadora

(Home)
20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2
Academico Viseu
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1
Braga
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Famalicao
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
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Al Nassr

(Away)
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0
Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Nassr
28 Aug
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Al Taawon
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