Sport Picks
Estrela da Amadora vs Naval 1893
World
Club Friendly 
AI Match Summary
Estrela da Amadora play Naval 1893 in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Estrela da Amadora averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. Naval 1893 averaged 1.39 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, Estrela da Amadora won 1, Naval 1893 won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 0-2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Estrela da Amadora and 1.25 for Naval 1893. This points to a Naval 1893 double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Estrela da Amadora picked up more points recently compared to Naval 1893.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.25 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estrela da Amadora | Naval 1893 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Estrela da Amadora scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Naval 1893 let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Estrela da Amadora went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Naval 1893 lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics