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Estrela da Amadora vs Naval 1893

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Alisson Souza
72' Event
Robinho

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Estrela da Amadora and Naval 1893 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estrela da Amadora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Estrela da Amadora
20%
Draws
42%
Naval 1893
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Naval 1893

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Naval 1893 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 20%
Naval 1893 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora Naval 1893
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.39 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Estrela da Amadora vs Naval 1893
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrela da Amadora Compare

Top Goalscorer Alisson Souza
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Naval 1893 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora 32 / 100
Naval 1893 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora Naval 1893

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela da Amadora scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Naval 1893 let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Estrela da Amadora stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora VS Naval 1893
1.63 Goals Scored 1.29
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela da Amadora

(Home)
20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2
Academico Viseu
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1
Braga
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2
Famalicao
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
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Naval 1893

(Away)
19 Sept
Naval 1893
0 : 2
FC Felgueiras
13 Sept
Naval 1893
1 : 0
Alverca B
06 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 0
Naval 1893
30 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 3
Naval 1893
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4
Naval 1893
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