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Estrela De Marco U20 vs Feirense U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Estrela De Marco U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Estrela De Marco U20
15%
Draws
28%
Feirense U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estrela De Marco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estrela De Marco U20 come out ahead of Feirense U20 on wins alone.
  • Estrela De Marco U20 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Estrela De Marco U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Estrela De Marco U20, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Estrela De Marco U20 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Estrela De Marco U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Feirense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela De Marco U20 Feirense U20
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 23 8
Draws 7 1
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.33 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Baiano U20
Estrela De Marco U20 vs Feirense U20
1:0
Jul 6, 2025 Baiano U20
Feirense U20 vs Estrela De Marco U20
1:1
May 18, 2025 Baiano U20
Feirense U20 vs Estrela De Marco U20
0:1
May 10, 2025 Baiano U20
Estrela De Marco U20 vs Feirense U20
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela De Marco U20 40 / 100
Feirense U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela De Marco U20 Feirense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela De Marco U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Feirense U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Estrela De Marco U20 scored in 74% of their last 42 games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Feirense U20's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Estrela De Marco U20 VS Feirense U20
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela De Marco U20

(Home)
09 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
13 Jun
Fluminense de Feira U20
2 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
06 Jun
Estrela De Marco U20
1 : 0
Fluminense de Feira U20
03 Jun
Vitoria U20
3 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
30 May
Estrela De Marco U20
2 : 1
Bahia de Feira U20
Page 1 of 9

Feirense U20

(Away)
03 Jun
Jacobina U20
1 : 0
Feirense U20
30 May
Feirense U20
0 : 1
Juazeirense U20
23 May
Camacariense U20
1 : 0
Feirense U20
09 May
Feirense U20
0 : 6
Bahia U20
02 May
Feirense U20
1 : 0
Galicia U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Feirense U20 1
Estrela De Marco U20 2
Leonico U20 1
Grapiuna U20 0
Conquista FC U20 1
Fluminense de Feira U20 4
Ypiranga U20 3
Vitoria U20 1
SSA U20 1
Barcelona FC U20 4
Porto-BA U20 2
Alagoinhas U20 3
Jequie U20 2
Bahia U20 4
Jacuipense U20 6
Galicia U20 3
Quarter-finals
Estrela De Marco U20 6
Leonico U20 1
Fluminense de Feira U20 2
Ypiranga U20 3
Barcelona FC U20 3
Alagoinhas U20 4
Bahia U20 3
Jacuipense U20 1
Semi-finals
Estrela De Marco U20 2
Ypiranga U20 1
Alagoinhas U20 1
Bahia U20 4
Final
Estrela De Marco U20 0
Bahia U20 6