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Estrela De Marco U20 vs Redencao U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Baiano U20 game between Estrela De Marco U20 and Redencao U20 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estrela De Marco U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Estrela De Marco U20
15%
Draws
42%
Redencao U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estrela De Marco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Estrela De Marco U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Estrela De Marco U20 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Baiano U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Estrela De Marco U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Redencao U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela De Marco U20 Redencao U20
Matches Played 32 14
Wins 15 3
Draws 6 1
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.09 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Baiano U20
Redencao U20 vs Estrela De Marco U20
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 Baiano U20
Estrela De Marco U20 vs Redencao U20
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela De Marco U20 36 / 100
Redencao U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela De Marco U20 Redencao U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redencao U20 let in goals in 93% of their last 14 matches.

Estrela De Marco U20's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Redencao U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela De Marco U20 VS Redencao U20
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela De Marco U20

(Home)
09 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
13 Jun
Fluminense de Feira U20
2 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
06 Jun
Estrela De Marco U20
1 : 0
Fluminense de Feira U20
03 Jun
Vitoria U20
3 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
30 May
Estrela De Marco U20
2 : 1
Bahia de Feira U20
Page 1 of 7

Redencao U20

(Away)
03 Jun
Bahia de Feira U20
1 : 3
Redencao U20
30 May
Redencao U20
2 : 5
Vitoria U20
23 May
Leonico U20
0 : 1
Redencao U20
09 May
Redencao U20
1 : 2
Fluminense de Feira U20
02 May
Alagoinhas U20
4 : 2
Redencao U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia U20 14 12 1 1 62:8 37
2 Galicia U20 14 9 1 4 24:14 28
3 Camacariense U20 14 9 0 5 37:21 27
4 SSA U20 14 6 2 6 29:15 20
5 Jacobina U20 14 6 2 6 18:18 20
6 Juazeirense U20 14 5 3 6 16:25 18
7 Feirense U20 14 3 0 11 11:35 9
8 Camacari U20 14 1 1 12 6:67 4
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria U20 14 12 1 1 49:14 37
2 Fluminense de Feira U20 14 8 3 3 30:18 27
3 Jacuipense U20 14 7 3 4 24:15 24
4 Estrela De Marco U20 14 6 4 4 18:16 22
5 Alagoinhas U20 14 6 3 5 26:23 21
6 Bahia de Feira U20 14 4 1 9 16:25 13
7 Redencao U20 14 3 1 10 17:36 10
8 Leonico U20 14 1 2 11 9:42 5
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto-BA U20 14 10 3 1 31:17 33
2 Conquista FC U20 14 9 4 1 23:7 31
3 Vitoria da Conquista U20 14 6 4 4 25:11 22
4 Barcelona FC U20 14 5 3 6 16:16 18
5 Grapiuna U20 14 5 2 7 18:16 17
6 Serrano U20 14 5 1 8 20:30 16
7 Jequie U20 14 4 3 7 18:22 15
8 Catuense U20 14 2 0 12 16:48 6
Promotion - Baiano U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams