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Estrela do Norte vs Forte

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2 2025 Estadio Mario Monteiro (Sumare)
Our Tip

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Estrela do Norte host Forte in the Capixaba 2 2025. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Forte have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Estrela do Norte have conceded 0.67 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Forte slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2025, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.08) point toward Forte. Forte in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Estrela do Norte
6%
Draws
4%
Forte
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Estrela do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Estrela do Norte has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Forte.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Estrela do Norte.
  • Cup tournament structure in Capixaba 2 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Estrela do Norte Clean Sheet 20%
Forte Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela do Norte Forte
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.67 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.67 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Forte
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Capixaba 2
Forte vs Estrela do Norte
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Forte
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela do Norte 85 / 100
Forte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela do Norte Forte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela do Norte scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Forte let in goals in 52% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Estrela do Norte went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Forte lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela do Norte VS Forte
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Serra5
Linhares Futebol Clube2
Estrela do Norte1
Forte3
Final
Serra1
Forte0