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Estrela do Norte vs Rive

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2 Estadio Mario Monteiro (Sumare), Cachoeiro de Itapemirim
Estrela do Norte Logo

Estrela do Norte

1 - 1
FT
Rive Logo

Rive

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba 2 game between Estrela do Norte and Rive finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Estrela do Norte
30%
Draws
32%
Rive
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estrela do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estrela do Norte come out ahead of Rive on wins alone.
  • Estrela do Norte are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Capixaba 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Estrela do Norte Clean Sheet 20%
Rive Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela do Norte Rive
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 1
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Rive
1:1
Jul 12, 2026 Capixaba 2
Rive vs Estrela do Norte
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela do Norte 67 / 100
Rive 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela do Norte Rive

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela do Norte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela do Norte went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Estrela do Norte scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Rive let in goals in 63% of their last 8 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Estrela do Norte VS Rive
2 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela do Norte

(Home)
22 Aug
Estrela do Norte
4 : 0
Tupy
19 Aug
Pinheiros
0 : 5
Estrela do Norte
08 Aug
Estrela do Norte
1 : 1
Rive
02 Aug
Estrela do Norte
2 : 0
Sport-ES
25 Jul
Tupy
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
Page 1 of 6

Rive

(Away)
29 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Rive
22 Aug
Rive
2 : 0
Sport-ES
15 Aug
Rive
1 : 1
Tupy
08 Aug
Estrela do Norte
1 : 1
Rive
01 Aug
Rive
3 : 2
Pinheiros
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linhares Futebol Clube 8 6 0 2 22:2 18
2 Audax Sao Mateus 8 5 1 2 15:5 16
3 GEL 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
4 Doze Futebol Clube 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
5 CTE Colatina 8 0 1 7 1:29 1
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estrela do Norte 8 7 1 0 21:1 22
2 Rive 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Tupy 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Sport-ES 8 3 0 5 10:9 9
5 Pinheiros 8 0 0 8 5:27 0
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)