Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estrela do Norte vs Sport-ES - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2 Estadio Mario Monteiro (Sumare), Cachoeiro de Itapemirim
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estrela do Norte in this Capixaba 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrela do Norte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Estrela do Norte
15%
Draws
14%
Sport-ES
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estrela do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Estrela do Norte lately — more wins on the board than Sport-ES.
  • Model gives Estrela do Norte a 71% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Estrela do Norte here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Estrela do Norte Clean Sheet 68%
Sport-ES Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela do Norte Sport-ES
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.58 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Capixaba 2
Sport-ES vs Estrela do Norte
0:1
Aug 2, 2026 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Sport-ES
2:0
Aug 25, 2025 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Sport-ES
4:0
Apr 5, 2016 Capixaba
Sport-ES vs Estrela do Norte
3:2
Mar 26, 2016 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Sport-ES
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela do Norte 95 / 100
Sport-ES 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela do Norte Sport-ES

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela do Norte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sport-ES conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.

Estrela do Norte went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Estrela do Norte found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Estrela do Norte VS Sport-ES
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela do Norte

(Home)
19 Sept
Estrela do Norte
2 : 1
Linhares Futebol Clube
12 Sept
Estrela do Norte
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
06 Sept
Audax Sao Mateus
1 : 2
Estrela do Norte
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Estrela do Norte
4 : 0
Tupy
Page 1 of 7

Sport-ES

(Away)
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Rive
2 : 0
Sport-ES
19 Aug
Tupy
1 : 0
Sport-ES
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
02 Aug
Estrela do Norte
2 : 0
Sport-ES
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linhares Futebol Clube 8 6 0 2 22:2 18
2 Audax Sao Mateus 8 5 1 2 15:5 16
3 GEL 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
4 Doze Futebol Clube 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
5 CTE Colatina 8 0 1 7 1:29 1
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estrela do Norte 8 7 1 0 21:1 22
2 Rive 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Tupy 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Sport-ES 8 3 0 5 10:9 9
5 Pinheiros 8 0 0 8 5:27 0
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)