Sport Picks
Estrela Vendas Novas vs Operario
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Estrela Vendas Novas host Operario in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025. Operario go into this one as the clear favorite. Estrela Vendas Novas have averaged 0.75 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Operario's 0.88 scored and 1.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Estrela Vendas Novas have won 2 to Operario's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 9, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.50, favoring Operario. Operario in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Operario has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Estrela Vendas Novas.
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estrela Vendas Novas | Operario |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 26 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Estrela Vendas Novas scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
Operario let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Estrela Vendas Novas went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.
Operario lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitano GC | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 57:14 | 58 |
| 2 | Amora | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 41:19 | 57 |
| 3 | Sintrense | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 52 |
| 4 | Moncarapachense | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 51 |
| 5 | Louletano | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 44:20 | 50 |
| 6 | Serpa | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 42:27 | 45 |
| 7 | Estrela da Amadora B | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 35:31 | 30 |
| 8 | Lagoa | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:35 | 30 |
| 9 | Industria | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 35:42 | 29 |
| 10 | Fabril do Barreiro | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 21:32 | 27 |
| 11 | Moura AC | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 27:50 | 26 |
| 12 | Operario | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 22:43 | 23 |
| 13 | FC Barreirense | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 31:47 | 22 |
| 14 | Estrela Vendas Novas | 26 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 12:66 | 5 |