Sport Picks

Mozambique

Mocambola 2016

Estrela Vermelha Maputo

1 - 0

Desportivo Maputo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estrela Vermelha Maputo in this Mocambola 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estrela Vermelha Maputo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Estrela Vermelha Maputo

17%

Draws

13%

Desportivo Maputo

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Estrela Vermelha Maputo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Desportivo Maputo haven't matched Estrela Vermelha Maputo's recent run of results.
Estrela Vermelha Maputo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Regular Mocambola 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Estrela Vermelha Maputo Clean Sheet 20%

Desportivo Maputo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Estrela Vermelha Maputo	Desportivo Maputo
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	6	5
Draws	12	10
Losses	12	17
Goals Scored	0	0.75
Goals Conceded	0	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2016 Mocambola

Estrela Vermelha Maputo vs Desportivo Maputo

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Jul 9, 2016 Mocambola

Desportivo Maputo vs Estrela Vermelha Maputo

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 4 - 0

1:1

Nov 2, 2014 Mocambola

Desportivo Maputo vs Estrela Vermelha Maputo

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Jun 28, 2014 Mocambola

Estrela Vermelha Maputo vs Desportivo Maputo

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela Vermelha Maputo 67 / 100

Desportivo Maputo 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Estrela Vermelha Maputo Desportivo Maputo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela Vermelha Maputo scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Desportivo Maputo conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Estrela Vermelha Maputo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Desportivo Maputo

0 Goals Scored 0.75

0 Goals Conceded 1.13

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferroviario Beira	30	18	7	5	40:21	61
2	UD Songo	30	16	7	7	32:14	55
3	Chibuto	30	13	11	6	35:19	50
4	Liga Desportivo Maputo	30	15	5	10	37:21	50
5	Ferroviario Nampula	30	13	11	6	37:21	50
6	Ferroviario Maputo	30	13	10	7	27:18	49
7	Maxaquene	30	11	10	9	28:26	43
8	Ferroviario Nacala	30	10	12	8	22:24	42
9	Desportivo de Nacala	30	10	10	10	39:34	40
10	Costa do Sol	30	10	8	12	34:33	38
11	ENH Vilankulo	30	9	10	11	22:28	37
12	Chingale de Tete	30	9	6	15	19:41	33
13	1º de Maio de Quelimane	30	7	11	12	30:36	32
14	Estrela Vermelha Maputo	30	6	12	12	28:36	30
15	Desportivo Maputo	30	2	13	15	15:34	19
16	Desportivo de Niassa	30	3	7	20	11:50	16