Sport Picks

Mozambique

Mocambola 2016

Estrela Vermelha Maputo

1 - 2

Ferroviario Nacala

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2016 game between Estrela Vermelha Maputo and Ferroviario Nacala finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Nacala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Estrela Vermelha Maputo

39%

Draws

31%

Ferroviario Nacala

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Ferroviario Nacala come out ahead of Estrela Vermelha Maputo on wins alone.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Mocambola 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Estrela Vermelha Maputo Clean Sheet 20%

Ferroviario Nacala Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Estrela Vermelha Maputo	Ferroviario Nacala
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	6	10
Draws	12	10
Losses	12	7
Goals Scored	0	0.75
Goals Conceded	0	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2016 Mocambola

Estrela Vermelha Maputo vs Ferroviario Nacala

Possession: 49% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

May 1, 2016 Mocambola

Ferroviario Nacala vs Estrela Vermelha Maputo

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela Vermelha Maputo 31 / 100

Ferroviario Nacala 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Estrela Vermelha Maputo Ferroviario Nacala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Estrela Vermelha Maputo scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Estrela Vermelha Maputo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviario Nacala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 44% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ferroviario Nacala

0 Goals Scored 0.75

0 Goals Conceded 0.63

0% Over 1.5 25%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferroviario Beira	30	18	7	5	40:21	61
2	UD Songo	30	16	7	7	32:14	55
3	Chibuto	30	13	11	6	35:19	50
4	Liga Desportivo Maputo	30	15	5	10	37:21	50
5	Ferroviario Nampula	30	13	11	6	37:21	50
6	Ferroviario Maputo	30	13	10	7	27:18	49
7	Maxaquene	30	11	10	9	28:26	43
8	Ferroviario Nacala	30	10	12	8	22:24	42
9	Desportivo de Nacala	30	10	10	10	39:34	40
10	Costa do Sol	30	10	8	12	34:33	38
11	ENH Vilankulo	30	9	10	11	22:28	37
12	Chingale de Tete	30	9	6	15	19:41	33
13	1º de Maio de Quelimane	30	7	11	12	30:36	32
14	Estrela Vermelha Maputo	30	6	12	12	28:36	30
15	Desportivo Maputo	30	2	13	15	15:34	19
16	Desportivo de Niassa	30	3	7	20	11:50	16