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Estrella Azul vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Condori R.
Own Goal
34' Event
Paye E.
78' Event
Lopez E.

AI Match Summary

The Copa Peru 2021 game between Estrella Azul and Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alfonso Ugarte (Puno).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Estrella Azul
44%
Draws
20%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) come out ahead of Estrella Azul on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Estrella Azul Clean Sheet 14%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella Azul Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Matches Played 7 33
Wins 0 9
Draws 1 11
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2021 Copa Peru
Estrella Azul vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrella Azul Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Compare

Top Goalscorer Paye E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella Azul 35 / 100
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella Azul Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Estrella Azul's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AD Tarma742116:914
2Credicoop San Cristobal734013:613
3Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)734013:713
4Los Caimanes72417:810
5Deportivo Maristas723211:119
6Union San Martin722311:128
7Parachique712411:165
8Estrella Azul70164:171