Sport Picks

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Estrella Del Sur vs Deportivo Paraguayo

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estrella Del Sur host Deportivo Paraguayo in the Primera C. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Deportivo Paraguayo have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Estrella Del Sur have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Estrella Del Sur have won 3 to Deportivo Paraguayo's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 0.50, favoring Estrella Del Sur. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Estrella Del Sur
11%
Draws
9%
Deportivo Paraguayo
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Estrella Del Sur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Estrella Del Sur carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Estrella Del Sur's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Estrella Del Sur have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Estrella Del Sur Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo Paraguayo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella Del Sur Deportivo Paraguayo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 4
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.25 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Primera C
Deportivo Paraguayo vs Estrella Del Sur
1:3
Sep 2, 2025 Primera C
Deportivo Paraguayo vs Estrella Del Sur
1:2
May 21, 2025 Primera C
Estrella Del Sur vs Deportivo Paraguayo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella Del Sur 76 / 100
Deportivo Paraguayo 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella Del Sur Deportivo Paraguayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Estrella Del Sur scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Deportivo Paraguayo has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Estrella Del Sur remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estrella Del Sur VS Deportivo Paraguayo
1.25 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrella Del Sur

(Home)
12 Jul
Puerto Nuevo
1 : 0
Estrella Del Sur
04 Jul
Estrella Del Sur
3 : 0
Leandro N. Alem
28 Jun
Defensores de Cambaceres
0 : 3
Estrella Del Sur
14 Jun
Juventud Unida San Miguel
2 : 0
Estrella Del Sur
06 Jun
Estrella Del Sur
0 : 0
Sacachispas
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Deportivo Paraguayo

(Away)
11 Jul
Deportivo Paraguayo
0 : 1
Berazategui
05 Jul
Victoriano Arenas
0 : 0
Deportivo Paraguayo
27 Jun
Deportivo Paraguayo
0 : 2
CSR Espanol
13 Jun
Deportivo Paraguayo
0 : 0
Justo Jose de Urquiza
06 Jun
Mercedes
0 : 0
Deportivo Paraguayo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sacachispas19104524:1434
2Berazategui1988323:1432
3CSR Espanol1986526:1730
4Mercedes2078521:1129
5CA Lugano2078524:1929
6Puerto Nuevo2078518:1929
7Estrella Del Sur1977521:1728
8Victoriano Arenas2069517:1327
9Leandro N. Alem2075824:3326
10Juventud Unida San Miguel1957718:1922
11Defensores de Cambaceres2057815:2122
12Justo Jose de Urquiza2031079:1819
13Argentino de Rosario20211719:2617
14Deportivo Paraguayo1937910:2516
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canuelas2099223:1236
2Club Lujan1996422:1433
3Leones de Rosario1978419:1729
4Yupanqui2077624:2128
5Deportivo Espanol20610417:1428
6General Lamadrid2077618:2028
7Sportivo Barracas2074922:2125
8El Porvenir20413315:1525
9Atlas1967616:1725
10CSD Central Ballester1964918:2122
11Claypole1956815:2321
12Central Cordoba (Rosario)1948712:1520
13Fenix20551013:2120
14Deportivo Muniz2039814:2018
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)