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Estrella Del Sur vs Deportivo Paraguayo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera C
Estrella Del Sur Logo

Estrella Del Sur

1 - 0
FT
Deportivo Paraguayo Logo

Deportivo Paraguayo

Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Vazquez L. I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera C game between Estrella Del Sur and Deportivo Paraguayo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estrella Del Sur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Estrella Del Sur
35%
Draws
37%
Deportivo Paraguayo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Deportivo Paraguayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Estrella Del Sur carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Estrella Del Sur have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Estrella Del Sur Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Paraguayo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella Del Sur Deportivo Paraguayo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 12 11
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.93 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Primera C
Estrella Del Sur vs Deportivo Paraguayo
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Primera C
Deportivo Paraguayo vs Estrella Del Sur
1:3
Sep 2, 2025 Primera C
Deportivo Paraguayo vs Estrella Del Sur
1:2
May 21, 2025 Primera C
Estrella Del Sur vs Deportivo Paraguayo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrella Del Sur Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez L. I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Deportivo Paraguayo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella Del Sur 42 / 100
Deportivo Paraguayo 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella Del Sur Deportivo Paraguayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Paraguayo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Estrella Del Sur has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Estrella Del Sur found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Estrella Del Sur VS Deportivo Paraguayo
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrella Del Sur

(Home)
04 Oct
Sacachispas
0 : 0
Estrella Del Sur
26 Sept
Estrella Del Sur
2 : 1
Argentino de Rosario
20 Sept
CA Lugano
1 : 1
Estrella Del Sur
12 Sept
Estrella Del Sur
1 : 1
Yupanqui
06 Sept
Berazategui
2 : 0
Estrella Del Sur
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Paraguayo

(Away)
05 Oct
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1
Mercedes
26 Sept
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1
CA Lugano
20 Sept
Puerto Nuevo
2 : 3
Deportivo Paraguayo
12 Sept
Club Lujan
3 : 0
Deportivo Paraguayo
06 Sept
Deportivo Paraguayo
4 : 1
Leandro N. Alem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Berazategui 31 12 12 7 37:24 48
2 CSR Espanol 31 12 11 8 42:28 47
3 Sacachispas 31 13 8 10 32:26 47
4 CA Lugano 31 11 13 7 35:28 46
5 Juventud Unida San Miguel 31 12 9 10 38:31 45
6 Estrella Del Sur 31 11 12 8 31:29 45
7 Mercedes 31 11 11 9 30:24 44
8 Victoriano Arenas 31 10 14 7 24:19 44
9 Puerto Nuevo 31 9 11 11 28:35 38
10 Defensores de Cambaceres 31 9 9 13 25:31 36
11 Justo Jose de Urquiza 31 6 14 11 19:26 32
12 Deportivo Paraguayo 31 7 11 13 23:39 32
13 Leandro N. Alem 31 8 7 16 30:56 31
14 Argentino de Rosario 31 4 15 12 30:41 27
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Lujan 31 18 7 6 45:22 61
2 Canuelas 31 16 10 5 39:22 58
3 Central Cordoba (Rosario) 31 13 10 8 32:22 49
4 Deportivo Espanol 31 11 16 4 25:16 49
5 Leones de Rosario 31 12 12 7 29:24 48
6 General Lamadrid 31 9 13 9 23:27 40
7 Sportivo Barracas 31 11 6 14 32:32 39
8 CSD Central Ballester 31 10 8 13 29:30 38
9 Atlas 31 9 10 12 23:27 37
10 El Porvenir 31 7 16 8 26:31 37
11 Yupanqui 31 8 11 12 33:35 35
12 Fenix 31 8 10 13 23:30 34
13 Claypole 31 8 9 14 25:39 33
14 Deportivo Muniz 31 6 11 14 22:36 29
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)