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Estrella vs Olancho - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Marcelo Tinoco, Danli
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Ramirez Arauz M. R.
40'
Delgado J.
46'
Sub
Rosales O. In: Lopez F.
Out: Rosales O.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Estrella and Olancho finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olancho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Estrella
35%
Draws
29%
Olancho
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Estrella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olancho come out ahead of Estrella on wins alone.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Estrella Clean Sheet 17%
Olancho Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella Olancho
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 2 10
Draws 3 14
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.27
Goals Conceded 2 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga Nacional
Estrella vs Olancho
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrella Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Olancho Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez Arauz M. R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella 36 / 100
Olancho 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella Olancho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olancho Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrella's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Olancho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Estrella remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Estrella VS Olancho
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrella

(Home)
19 Sept
CD Choloma
2 : 0
Estrella
12 Sept
Estrella
2 : 2
Platense
06 Sept
Marathon
5 : 0
Estrella
30 Aug
Estrella
2 : 2
Olimpia
22 Aug
Estrella
5 : 2
Juticalpa
Page 1 of 2

Olancho

(Away)
19 Sept
Genesis FC
0 : 0
Olancho
12 Sept
Olancho
1 : 1
Real Espana
05 Sept
CD Choloma
0 : 0
Olancho
30 Aug
Motagua
2 : 1
Olancho
23 Aug
Olancho
1 : 1
Olimpia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 8 5 3 0 13:4 18
2 Olimpia 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Marathon 8 5 2 1 14:6 17
4 Motagua 8 4 1 3 11:8 13
5 Genesis FC 8 3 2 3 10:6 11
6 Olancho 8 2 5 1 6:5 11
7 Estrella 8 2 3 3 13:16 9
8 Atletico Independiente 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
10 CD Choloma 8 2 1 5 6:8 7
11 Juticalpa 8 2 0 6 8:19 6
12 Platense 8 1 2 5 6:18 5
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)