Sport Picks
Estrella vs UD San Fernando Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- UD San Fernando have won more games recently than Estrella.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- UD San Fernando have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Estrella Clean Sheet 14%
UD San Fernando Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estrella | UD San Fernando |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 42 |
| Wins | 8 | 24 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs UD San Fernando
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Estrella
6:1
Mar 24, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs UD San Fernando
1:3
Nov 25, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Estrella
2:0
Jan 26, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Estrella
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Estrella 31 / 100
UD San Fernando 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Estrella UD San Fernando
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD San Fernando Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Estrella scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Solid form: Estrella remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
UD San Fernando let in goals in 48% of their last 42 matches.
Scoring Trends
Estrella VS UD San Fernando
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Estrella
(Home) 25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1 Las Palmas C
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2 Estrella
12 Sept
Estrella
3 : 1 Villaverde Norte
11 May
Estrella
2 : 1 Herbania
04 May
San Bartolome
1 : 0 Estrella
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1 Las Palmas C
12 Sept
Estrella
3 : 1 Villaverde Norte
11 May
Estrella
2 : 1 Herbania
26 Apr
Estrella
1 : 1 CD Santa Ursula
12 Apr
Estrella
2 : 2 CD Marino
Page 1 of 4
UD San Fernando
(Away) 26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
20 Sept
UD San Fernando
5 : 0 UD Playas de Sotavento
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3 UD San Fernando
08 Sept
UD San Fernando
1 : 3 Orihuela
07 Jun
UD San Fernando
1 : 1 Tamaraceite
Page 1 of 9
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3 UD San Fernando
30 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0 UD San Fernando
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2 UD San Fernando
10 May
Mensajero
1 : 0 UD San Fernando
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 66:17 | 76 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 58:20 | 73 |
| 3 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 48:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Ibarra | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 49:40 | 59 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:37 | 56 |
| 6 | Lanzarote | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 56:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Panaderia | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:39 | 50 |
| 8 | CD Marino | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:45 | 47 |
| 9 | Arucas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:36 | 45 |
| 10 | San Bartolome | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 43:35 | 45 |
| 11 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:42 | 41 |
| 12 | Herbania | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33:41 | 40 |
| 13 | CD Santa Ursula | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | 40 |
| 14 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | CD Buzanada | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 27:54 | 32 |
| 16 | Estrella | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Los Llanos | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 25:52 | 28 |
| 18 | Union Viera | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28:65 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
