Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2018/2019

Mazarron CF

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estudiantes de Murcia CF play Mazarron CF in the Tercera Division - Group 13 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Estudiantes de Murcia CF averaged 1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Mazarron CF averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, Estudiantes de Murcia CF won 0, Mazarron CF won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 10, 2019 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Estudiantes de Murcia CF and 1.36 for Mazarron CF. This points to a Mazarron CF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Estudiantes de Murcia CF

31%

Draws

46%

Mazarron CF

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Mazarron CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Estudiantes de Murcia CF picked up more points recently compared to Mazarron CF.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.36 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 33%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Estudiantes de Murcia CF Clean Sheet 18%

Mazarron CF Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Estudiantes de Murcia CF	Mazarron CF
Matches Played	30	37
Wins	9	19
Draws	7	13
Losses	14	5
Goals Scored	1	1.57
Goals Conceded	1.33	0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Estudiantes de Murcia CF vs Mazarron CF

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Sep 23, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Mazarron CF vs Estudiantes de Murcia CF

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes de Murcia CF 24 / 100

Mazarron CF 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Estudiantes de Murcia CF Mazarron CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mazarron CF or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +53.4%

6.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +22.1%

3.70

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Estudiantes de Murcia CF attacking → ← attacking Mazarron CF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes de Murcia CF scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Mazarron CF let in goals in 59% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Estudiantes de Murcia CF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mazarron CF lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 70

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Yeclano	42	27	8	7	88:30	89
2	Lorca Deportiva	42	28	5	9	69:28	89
3	Lorca FC	42	22	14	6	73:28	80
4	EDMF Churra	42	23	8	11	63:50	77
5	CA Pulpileno	42	21	13	8	65:41	76
6	Aguilas FC	42	20	14	8	56:33	74
7	UCAM Murcia B	42	16	15	11	52:42	63
8	Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC	42	17	11	14	53:51	62
9	Deportiva Minera	42	14	13	15	45:55	55
10	Mazarron CF	42	14	12	16	48:56	54
11	Club Olimpico de Totana	42	15	9	18	54:64	54
12	UD Los Garres	42	13	14	15	36:48	53
13	Minerva	42	14	9	19	44:53	51
14	Real Murcia B	42	14	9	19	56:64	51
15	Muleno CF	42	12	13	17	44:59	49
16	Huercal-Overa CF	42	14	6	22	56:68	48
17	FC Cartagena SAD B	42	11	15	16	51:53	48
18	Ciudad de Murcia	42	12	8	22	43:70	44
19	La Union (Malacitano)	42	12	7	23	42:55	43
20	Estudiantes de Murcia CF	42	10	12	20	37:55	42
21	CD Algar	42	9	8	25	29:71	35
22	Ciudad Cieza	42	10	5	27	36:66	32