Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estudiantes L.P. 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Estudiantes L.P. 2 Logo

Estudiantes L.P. 2

3 - 1
FT
Atl. Rafaela 2 Logo

Atl. Rafaela 2

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Pepino E.
18'
Mondino V.
36' Event
Sagues B.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Estudiantes L.P. 2 and Atl. Rafaela 2 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estudiantes L.P. 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Estudiantes L.P. 2
15%
Draws
45%
Atl. Rafaela 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Rafaela 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Estudiantes L.P. 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Estudiantes L.P. 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Rafaela 2 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes L.P. 2 Atl. Rafaela 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Reserve League
Estudiantes L.P. 2 vs Atl. Rafaela 2
3:1
Mar 4, 2026 Reserve League
Atl. Rafaela 2 vs Estudiantes L.P. 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes L.P. 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sagues B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Atl. Rafaela 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pepino E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes L.P. 2 41 / 100
Atl. Rafaela 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes L.P. 2 Atl. Rafaela 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estudiantes L.P. 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Estudiantes L.P. 2's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Atl. Rafaela 2 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Estudiantes L.P. 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes L.P. 2 VS Atl. Rafaela 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes L.P. 2

(Home)
29 Sept
Estudiantes L.P. 2
2 : 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
23 Sept
Gimnasia L.P. 2
2 : 0
Estudiantes L.P. 2
17 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
1 : 0
Estudiantes L.P. 2
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P. 2
3 : 1
Huracan 2
02 Sept
Ferro 2
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Page 1 of 6

Atl. Rafaela 2

(Away)
29 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
3 : 2
Ferro 2
23 Sept
Sarmiento Junin 2
3 : 1
Atl. Rafaela 2
17 Sept
Boca Juniors 2
0 : 0
Atl. Rafaela 2
08 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
2 : 1
Independiente 2
01 Sept
Atl. Rafaela 2
2 : 1
Colon Santa Fe 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 10 4 6 0 17:8 18
2 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 10 6 0 4 13:11 18
3 Sarmiento Junin 2 10 4 5 1 11:6 17
4 Velez Sarsfield 2 10 4 4 2 10:3 16
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 11 4 4 3 11:6 16
6 Godoy Cruz 2 10 4 4 2 13:9 16
7 Rosario Central 2 10 4 4 2 13:14 16
8 San Lorenzo 2 11 4 2 5 12:11 14
9 Talleres Cordoba 2 10 3 5 2 9:8 14
10 Tigre 2 11 4 2 5 15:19 14
11 Union de Santa Fe 2 10 2 7 1 12:8 13
12 Instituto 2 10 3 4 3 12:13 13
13 Atl. Tucuman 2 11 3 3 5 7:13 12
14 Racing Club 2 10 2 5 3 15:16 11
15 Argentinos Jrs 2 10 2 4 4 6:10 10
16 Banfield 2 11 2 3 6 10:17 9
17 Aldosivi 2 11 1 5 5 9:14 8
18 Barracas Central 2 10 1 3 6 8:19 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 10 7 2 1 23:8 23
2 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 10 6 3 1 10:4 21
3 Estudiantes L.P. 2 11 6 2 3 18:10 20
4 Lanus 2 10 6 2 2 18:13 20
5 Boca Juniors 2 10 5 4 1 14:6 19
6 Atl. Rafaela 2 11 5 4 2 14:13 19
7 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 10 5 3 2 13:12 18
8 Deportivo Riestra 2 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
9 Quilmes 2 10 4 2 4 8:8 14
10 Huracan 2 10 4 1 5 12:9 13
11 Newells Old Boys 2 10 3 3 4 12:10 12
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 11 2 5 4 17:18 11
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 10 3 2 5 9:15 11
14 San Martin S.J. 2 10 2 4 4 7:16 10
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 10 2 2 6 8:15 8
16 Ind. Rivadavia 2 10 2 2 6 9:17 8
17 Platense 2 10 0 5 5 3:12 5
18 Ferro 2 11 1 2 8 9:24 5
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)