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Estudiantes L.P. 2 vs Newells Old Boys 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Mereles A.
90' Event
Podesta G.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Estudiantes L.P. 2 and Newells Old Boys 2 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newells Old Boys 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Estudiantes L.P. 2
15%
Draws
37%
Newells Old Boys 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estudiantes L.P. 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Newells Old Boys 2 haven't matched Estudiantes L.P. 2's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Estudiantes L.P. 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Newells Old Boys 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes L.P. 2 Newells Old Boys 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Reserve League
Estudiantes L.P. 2 vs Newells Old Boys 2
0:2
Sep 16, 2025 Reserve League
Newells Old Boys 2 vs Estudiantes L.P. 2
2:0
Apr 15, 2025 Reserve League
Estudiantes L.P. 2 vs Newells Old Boys 2
3:0
Oct 2, 2024 Reserve League
Estudiantes L.P. 2 vs Newells Old Boys 2
2:2
Jun 17, 2024 Reserve League
Estudiantes L.P. 2 vs Newells Old Boys 2
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes L.P. 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Newells Old Boys 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mereles A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Podesta G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes L.P. 2 32 / 100
Newells Old Boys 2 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes L.P. 2 Newells Old Boys 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Estudiantes L.P. 2 scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Estudiantes L.P. 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Newells Old Boys 2 let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes L.P. 2 VS Newells Old Boys 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes L.P. 2

(Home)
29 Sept
Estudiantes L.P. 2
2 : 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
23 Sept
Gimnasia L.P. 2
2 : 0
Estudiantes L.P. 2
17 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
1 : 0
Estudiantes L.P. 2
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P. 2
3 : 1
Huracan 2
02 Sept
Ferro 2
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Page 1 of 6

Newells Old Boys 2

(Away)
30 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys 2
24 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
3 : 0
Rosario Central 2
17 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
4 : 0
San Martin S.J. 2
10 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia 2
1 : 0
Newells Old Boys 2
02 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
0 : 2
Deportivo Riestra 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 18 14 2 2 40:11 44
2 River Plate 2 18 9 4 5 24:17 31
3 Racing Club 2 18 8 6 4 27:23 30
4 Atl. Tucuman 2 18 9 3 6 26:25 30
5 Union de Santa Fe 2 18 7 8 3 23:19 29
6 Argentinos Jrs 2 18 7 7 4 24:18 28
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
8 Rosario Central 2 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
9 Instituto 2 18 5 9 4 20:21 24
10 San Lorenzo 2 18 6 6 6 22:24 24
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
12 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 18 6 5 7 16:19 23
13 Banfield 2 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
14 Aldosivi 2 18 5 3 10 17:28 18
15 Barracas Central 2 18 4 5 9 11:24 17
16 Sarmiento Junin 2 18 4 4 10 16:26 16
17 Tigre 2 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
18 Godoy Cruz 2 18 4 3 11 20:30 15
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 2 18 11 3 4 33:11 36
2 Independiente 2 18 11 3 4 36:16 36
3 Lanus 2 18 11 2 5 39:24 35
4 Newells Old Boys 2 18 10 4 4 26:16 34
5 Quilmes 2 18 10 3 5 20:12 33
6 Defensa y Justicia 2 18 9 5 4 38:24 32
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 18 8 4 6 25:16 28
8 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 18 8 3 7 27:29 27
9 Huracan 2 18 7 5 6 23:17 26
10 Platense 2 18 7 5 6 17:20 26
11 Deportivo Riestra 2 18 7 4 7 25:18 25
12 Ind. Rivadavia 2 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
13 Ferro 2 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 18 5 4 9 21:33 19
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 18 5 3 10 15:23 18
16 Atl. Rafaela 2 18 3 3 12 21:36 12
17 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 18 2 5 11 9:32 11
18 San Martin S.J. 2 18 2 2 14 16:59 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)