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Estudiantes L.P. 2 vs Quilmes 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Arias S.
59' Event
Sagues B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Estudiantes L.P. 2
30%
Draws
37%
Quilmes 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Quilmes 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Estudiantes L.P. 2 lately — more wins on the board than Quilmes 2.
  • Estudiantes L.P. 2 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Estudiantes L.P. 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Quilmes 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes L.P. 2 Quilmes 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Reserve League
Estudiantes L.P. 2 vs Quilmes 2
1:1
Feb 11, 2026 Reserve League
Quilmes 2 vs Estudiantes L.P. 2
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes L.P. 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Quilmes 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes L.P. 2 42 / 100
Quilmes 2 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes L.P. 2 Quilmes 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes L.P. 2 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Quilmes 2 has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Estudiantes L.P. 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes L.P. 2 VS Quilmes 2
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes L.P. 2

(Home)
06 Oct
Newells Old Boys 2
1 : 1
Estudiantes L.P. 2
29 Sept
Estudiantes L.P. 2
2 : 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
23 Sept
Gimnasia L.P. 2
2 : 0
Estudiantes L.P. 2
17 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
1 : 0
Estudiantes L.P. 2
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P. 2
3 : 1
Huracan 2
Page 1 of 6

Quilmes 2

(Away)
06 Oct
Defensa y Justicia 2
1 : 1
Quilmes 2
30 Sept
Quilmes 2
1 : 1
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
23 Sept
Aldosivi 2
0 : 1
Quilmes 2
16 Sept
Huracan 2
1 : 0
Quilmes 2
08 Sept
Quilmes 2
2 : 1
Ferro 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 12 5 7 0 20:10 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 2 12 5 5 2 12:4 20
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 12 6 2 4 14:12 20
4 Rosario Central 2 12 5 5 2 17:16 20
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 12 4 5 3 13:8 17
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 12 4 5 3 11:8 17
7 Godoy Cruz 2 12 4 5 3 14:12 17
8 San Lorenzo 2 12 5 2 5 13:11 17
9 Talleres Cordoba 2 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
10 Union de Santa Fe 2 12 3 7 2 17:10 16
11 Instituto 2 12 3 6 3 15:16 15
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 12 4 3 5 9:13 15
13 Tigre 2 12 4 2 6 15:20 14
14 Racing Club 2 12 2 7 3 19:20 13
15 Aldosivi 2 12 2 5 5 10:14 11
16 Argentinos Jrs 2 12 2 5 5 7:12 11
17 Banfield 2 12 2 3 7 10:22 9
18 Barracas Central 2 12 1 5 6 8:19 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 12 8 3 1 25:9 27
2 Lanus 2 12 8 2 2 23:13 26
3 Deportivo Riestra 2 12 7 2 3 22:11 23
4 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 12 6 5 1 13:7 23
5 Boca Juniors 2 12 6 4 2 16:8 22
6 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 12 6 4 2 19:17 22
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 12 6 3 3 19:11 21
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 12 5 4 3 14:14 19
9 Huracan 2 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
10 Quilmes 2 12 4 4 4 10:10 16
11 Newells Old Boys 2 12 3 5 4 14:12 14
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 12 2 6 4 18:19 12
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
14 San Martin S.J. 2 12 2 4 6 9:21 10
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 12 2 2 8 8:17 8
17 Platense 2 12 0 7 5 6:15 7
18 Ferro 2 12 1 3 8 9:24 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)