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Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo RJ - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Estudiantes L.P. at 1.21 goals for, 0.82 against; Flamengo RJ at 1.89 for, 0.79 against. Past meetings favor Flamengo RJ slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 21, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.56 xG vs 1.38) point toward Flamengo RJ. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Estudiantes L.P.
15%
Draws
58%
Flamengo RJ
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Estudiantes L.P. haven't matched Flamengo RJ's recent run of results.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Flamengo RJ arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Estudiantes L.P. Clean Sheet 17%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes L.P. Flamengo RJ
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.21 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Flamengo RJ vs Estudiantes L.P.
1:0
Apr 30, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo RJ
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Copa Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. vs Flamengo RJ
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Copa Libertadores
Flamengo RJ vs Estudiantes L.P.
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes L.P. 36 / 100
Flamengo RJ 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes L.P. Flamengo RJ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes L.P.'s goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Flamengo RJ let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Estudiantes L.P. remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes L.P. VS Flamengo RJ
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes L.P.

(Home)
05 Oct
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza
02 Oct
Platense
1 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
26 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 3
Rosario Central
22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
17 Sept
Corinthians
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 6

Flamengo RJ

(Away)
20 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Bragantino
18 Sept
Flamengo RJ
1 : 1
Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Flamengo RJ
2 : 1
Corinthians
11 Sept
Independiente del Valle
0 : 2
Flamengo RJ
06 Sept
Remo
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. -
Flamengo RJ -
Palmeiras -
Fluminense -
Final
TBD -
TBD -