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Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Estudiantes L.P. Logo

Estudiantes L.P.

4 - 0
FT
Gimnasia L.P. Logo

Gimnasia L.P.

Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Miramon I.
28'
Palacios T.
31'
Benedetti G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Estudiantes L.P. and Gimnasia L.P. finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estudiantes L.P..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Estudiantes L.P.
35%
Draws
35%
Gimnasia L.P.
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gimnasia L.P. come out ahead of Estudiantes L.P. on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Estudiantes L.P. Clean Sheet 20%
Gimnasia L.P. Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P.
4:0
Feb 15, 2026 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P.
0:0
Dec 8, 2025 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P.
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia L.P.
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 Liga Profesional
Gimnasia L.P. vs Estudiantes L.P.
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes L.P. Compare

Top Goalscorer Mancuso E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palacios T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Gimnasia L.P. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes L.P. 32 / 100
Gimnasia L.P. 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes L.P. Gimnasia L.P.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes L.P.'s goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Gimnasia L.P.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Estudiantes L.P. stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes L.P. VS Gimnasia L.P.
1 Goals Scored 1.29
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes L.P.

(Home)
05 Oct
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza
02 Oct
Platense
1 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
26 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 3
Rosario Central
22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
17 Sept
Corinthians
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia L.P.

(Away)
09 Oct
Gimnasia L.P.
1 : 1
Atl. Tucuman
03 Oct
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 1
Gimnasia L.P.
19 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 2
Banfield
13 Sept
Argentinos Jrs
1 : 1
Gimnasia L.P.
05 Sept
Gimnasia L.P.
2 : 1
Tigre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 12 8 2 2 19:10 26
2 Boca Juniors 12 5 6 1 19:13 21
3 Velez Sarsfield 11 5 6 0 17:11 21
4 Defensa y Justicia 11 6 3 2 16:11 21
5 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
6 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Estudiantes L.P. 11 4 1 6 13:11 13
10 Union de Santa Fe 11 4 1 6 17:19 13
11 Deportivo Riestra 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
12 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
13 Platense 11 2 4 5 11:17 10
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 11 2 3 6 8:14 9
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Sarmiento Junin 11 6 1 4 20:17 19
4 Rosario Central 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
5 Huracan 11 5 4 2 11:8 19
6 Gimnasia L.P. 12 5 4 3 17:17 19
7 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
8 Barracas Central 11 4 3 4 8:9 15
9 Atl. Tucuman 12 3 5 4 10:10 14
10 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
11 Tigre 11 3 3 5 10:11 12
12 Racing Club 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
13 Banfield 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Aldosivi 12 2 2 8 13:20 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11 1 3 7 6:15 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)