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Estudiantes L.P. vs Rosario Central - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

International Super Cup Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades, Santiago del Estero
Estudiantes L.P. Logo

Estudiantes L.P.

1 - 3
FT
Rosario Central Logo

Rosario Central

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Castro A.
Assist: Carrillo G.
12'
Sub
Neves G. In: Elias J.
Out: Neves G.
17'
Elias J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Estudiantes L.P.
20%
Draws
52%
Rosario Central
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rosario Central

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Estudiantes L.P. haven't matched Rosario Central's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Rosario Central arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rosario Central, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Estudiantes L.P. Clean Sheet 21%
Rosario Central Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes L.P. Rosario Central
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 International Super Cup
Estudiantes L.P. vs Rosario Central
1:3
May 31, 2026 Copa Argentina
Estudiantes L.P. vs Rosario Central
3:0
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Profesional
Rosario Central vs Estudiantes L.P.
0:1
May 10, 2025 Liga Profesional
Rosario Central vs Estudiantes L.P.
2:0
Nov 20, 2024 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes L.P. vs Rosario Central
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes L.P. Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Rosario Central Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Maria A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes L.P. 32 / 100
Rosario Central 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes L.P. Rosario Central

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosario Central Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes L.P. found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Rosario Central conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Estudiantes L.P. remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes L.P. VS Rosario Central
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes L.P.

(Home)
05 Oct
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza
02 Oct
Platense
1 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
26 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 3
Rosario Central
22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
17 Sept
Corinthians
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 6

Rosario Central

(Away)
06 Oct
Banfield
1 : 1
Rosario Central
26 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 3
Rosario Central
20 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 0
Argentinos Jrs
13 Sept
Tigre
0 : 1
Rosario Central
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Estudiantes L.P. 1
Rosario Central 3