Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Estudiantes L.P. Logo

Estudiantes L.P.

1 - 1
FT
U. Catolica Logo

U. Catolica

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Burgos J.
9'
Zampedri F.
61'
Sub
Perez Fabricio In: Correa J.
Out: Perez Fabricio
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Estudiantes L.P.
20%
Draws
33%
U. Catolica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estudiantes L.P.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to U. Catolica lately — more wins on the board than Estudiantes L.P..
  • Win probability leans Estudiantes L.P.'s way, sitting at 70%.
  • U. Catolica arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Estudiantes L.P., who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Estudiantes L.P. have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Estudiantes L.P. Clean Sheet 68%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes L.P. U. Catolica
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.32 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Copa Libertadores
U. Catolica vs Estudiantes L.P.
0:3
Aug 12, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica
1:1
May 7, 1969 Copa Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica
3:1
May 1, 1969 Copa Libertadores
U. Catolica vs Estudiantes L.P.
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes L.P. Compare

Top Goalscorer Burgos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Zampedri F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes L.P. 77 / 100
U. Catolica 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes L.P. U. Catolica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estudiantes L.P. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Estudiantes L.P. scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

U. Catolica let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Estudiantes L.P. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes L.P. VS U. Catolica
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes L.P.

(Home)
31 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0
Newells Old Boys
27 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 1
Barracas Central
23 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
19 Aug
U. Catolica
0 : 3
Estudiantes L.P.
15 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
4 : 0
Gimnasia L.P.
Page 1 of 6

U. Catolica

(Away)
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2
O Higgins
26 Aug
Coquimbo
1 : 2
U. Catolica
23 Aug
U. Catolica
1 : 2
Nublense
19 Aug
U. Catolica
0 : 3
Estudiantes L.P.
12 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1
U. Catolica
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. -
Corinthians -
Independiente del Valle -
Flamengo RJ -
LDU Quito -
Palmeiras -
Platense -
Fluminense -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -