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Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Estudiantes L.P. Logo

Estudiantes L.P.

1 - 1
FT
U. Catolica Logo

U. Catolica

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Burgos J.
9'
Zampedri F.
61'
Sub
Perez Fabricio In: Correa J.
Out: Perez Fabricio
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Estudiantes L.P.
30%
Draws
47%
U. Catolica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to U. Catolica lately — more wins on the board than Estudiantes L.P..
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • U. Catolica arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Estudiantes L.P., who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Estudiantes L.P. have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Estudiantes L.P. Clean Sheet 68%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes L.P. U. Catolica
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.21 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.99 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Copa Libertadores
U. Catolica vs Estudiantes L.P.
0:3
Aug 12, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica
1:1
May 7, 1969 Copa Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. vs U. Catolica
3:1
May 1, 1969 Copa Libertadores
U. Catolica vs Estudiantes L.P.
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes L.P. Compare

Top Goalscorer Burgos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.49

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Zampedri F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes L.P. 41 / 100
U. Catolica 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes L.P. U. Catolica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estudiantes L.P. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Estudiantes L.P. scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

U. Catolica let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Estudiantes L.P. has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes L.P. VS U. Catolica
1.13 Goals Scored 1.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes L.P.

(Home)
18 Oct
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 2
San Lorenzo
16 Oct
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0
Flamengo RJ
10 Oct
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
2 : 2
Estudiantes L.P.
05 Oct
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 0
Gimnasia Mendoza
02 Oct
Platense
1 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
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U. Catolica

(Away)
26 Sept
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Union La Calera
23 Sept
Union La Calera
1 : 1
U. Catolica
12 Sept
Palestino
2 : 3
U. Catolica
05 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2
O Higgins
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 4
U. Catolica 1
Rosario Central 0
Corinthians 1
Deportes Tolima 1
Independiente del Valle 4
Cruzeiro 2
Flamengo RJ 3
Mirassol 1
LDU Quito 2
Palmeiras 2
Cerro Porteno 1
Platense 2
Coquimbo 1
Fluminense 2
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Quarter-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 2
Corinthians 1
Independiente del Valle 1
Flamengo RJ 3
LDU Quito 3
Palmeiras 4
Platense 2
Fluminense 3
Semi-finals
Estudiantes L.P. 0
Flamengo RJ 0
Palmeiras 3
Fluminense 2
Final
TBD -
Palmeiras -