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Estudiantes Merida vs Academia Puerto Cabello Prediction & H2H Stats

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Metropolitano de Mérida, Mérida
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Ramos J.
Assist: Marchan J.
45'
Sarago E.
46'
Sub
Marchan J. In: Casiani L.
Out: Marchan J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Estudiantes Merida and Academia Puerto Cabello finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Estudiantes Merida
35%
Draws
35%
Academia Puerto Cabello
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Academia Puerto Cabello come out ahead of Estudiantes Merida on wins alone.
  • Model gives Estudiantes Merida a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Estudiantes Merida have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Estudiantes Merida Clean Sheet 19%
Academia Puerto Cabello Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes Merida Academia Puerto Cabello
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Academia Puerto Cabello
1:1
Feb 27, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes Merida
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Academia Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes Merida
1:2
Apr 18, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Academia Puerto Cabello
1:0
Aug 7, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Academia Puerto Cabello
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes Merida Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Academia Puerto Cabello Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes Merida 36 / 100
Academia Puerto Cabello 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes Merida Academia Puerto Cabello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes Merida scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Academia Puerto Cabello conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Estudiantes Merida has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes Merida VS Academia Puerto Cabello
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes Merida

(Home)
20 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1
Trujillanos
16 Sept
Portuguesa
2 : 1
Estudiantes Merida
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0
Dep. Tachira
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1
Universidad Central
Page 1 of 6

Academia Puerto Cabello

(Away)
19 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
2 : 1
Portuguesa
15 Sept
Dep. Tachira
1 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello
12 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
0 : 2
Carabobo
07 Sept
Universidad Central
0 : 0
Academia Puerto Cabello
03 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello
1 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 11 9 1 1 24:9 28
2 Dep. Tachira 11 7 2 2 24:14 23
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 11 5 4 2 15:9 19
4 Carabobo 11 5 3 3 12:8 18
5 Portuguesa 11 4 5 2 14:12 17
6 Deportivo La Guaira 11 5 1 5 21:16 16
7 Estudiantes Merida 11 4 4 3 12:12 16
8 Universidad Central 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
9 Monagas 11 4 2 5 12:13 14
10 Caracas 11 2 5 4 9:14 11
11 Rayo Zuliano 11 3 2 6 17:23 11
12 Trujillanos 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
13 Zamora 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 11 1 2 8 6:20 5
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