Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estudiantes Merida vs Dep. Tachira

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Metropolitano de Mérida, Mérida
Estudiantes Merida Logo

Estudiantes Merida

2 - 1
FT
Dep. Tachira Logo

Dep. Tachira

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Magallan C.
Assist: Quejada K.
38' Event
Quejada K.
Assist: Magallan C.
43'
Rivas C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estudiantes Merida in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estudiantes Merida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Estudiantes Merida
30%
Draws
33%
Dep. Tachira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estudiantes Merida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dep. Tachira lately — more wins on the board than Estudiantes Merida.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Estudiantes Merida Clean Sheet 13%
Dep. Tachira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes Merida Dep. Tachira
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 17
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.28 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Dep. Tachira
2:0
May 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Dep. Tachira vs Estudiantes Merida
1:0
May 2, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Dep. Tachira
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Dep. Tachira vs Estudiantes Merida
1:0
Aug 31, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Dep. Tachira vs Estudiantes Merida
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes Merida Compare

Top Goalscorer Magallan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quejada K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Dep. Tachira Compare

Top Goalscorer Fratta G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes Merida 31 / 100
Dep. Tachira 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes Merida Dep. Tachira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. Tachira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Estudiantes Merida scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Dep. Tachira let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Estudiantes Merida went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes Merida VS Dep. Tachira
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes Merida

(Home)
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0
Dep. Tachira
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1
Universidad Central
30 Aug
Deportivo La Guaira
1 : 2
Estudiantes Merida
22 Aug
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Tachira

(Away)
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0
Dep. Tachira
06 Sept
Dep. Tachira
3 : 1
Rayo Zuliano
02 Sept
Zamora
2 : 5
Dep. Tachira
30 Aug
Dep. Tachira
0 : 0
Caracas
22 Aug
Metropolitanos
3 : 1
Dep. Tachira
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Puerto Cabello 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
2 Portuguesa 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
3 Deportivo La Guaira 6 1 4 1 5:5 7
4 Universidad Central 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Final)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carabobo 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
2 Dep. Tachira 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Metropolitanos 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Estudiantes Merida 6 1 0 5 2:8 3
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Final)