Sport Picks

Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Metropolitano de Mérida

Estudiantes Merida

2 - 1

Dep. Tachira

Our Tip

Match Events

Magallan C.

Assist: Quejada K.

38'

Quejada K.

Assist: Magallan C.

43'

Rivas C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estudiantes Merida in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estudiantes Merida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Estudiantes Merida

Draws

90%

Dep. Tachira

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dep. Tachira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Dep. Tachira lately — more wins on the board than Estudiantes Merida.
Model gives Dep. Tachira a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Dep. Tachira here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

Estudiantes Merida Clean Sheet 16%

Dep. Tachira Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Estudiantes Merida	Dep. Tachira
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	11	16
Draws	3	8
Losses	16	8
Goals Scored	1.13	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE

Dep. Tachira vs Estudiantes Merida

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

May 2, 2026 Liga FUTVE

Estudiantes Merida vs Dep. Tachira

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Mar 22, 2026 Liga FUTVE

Dep. Tachira vs Estudiantes Merida

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Aug 31, 2025 Liga FUTVE

Dep. Tachira vs Estudiantes Merida

Possession: 40% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

4:0

Mar 28, 2025 Liga FUTVE

Estudiantes Merida vs Dep. Tachira

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes Merida Compare

Top Goalscorer Magallan C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Quejada K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Dep. Tachira Compare

Top Goalscorer Fratta G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes Merida 10 / 100

Dep. Tachira 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Estudiantes Merida Dep. Tachira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAC Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes Merida scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Dep. Tachira has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes Merida VS Dep. Tachira

1.13 Goals Scored 1.63

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Academia Puerto Cabello	6	3	1	2	8:7	10
2	Portuguesa	6	2	2	2	7:8	8
3	Deportivo La Guaira	6	1	4	1	5:5	7
4	Universidad Central	6	1	3	2	8:8	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Carabobo	6	3	2	1	10:5	11
2	Dep. Tachira	6	3	2	1	8:5	11
3	Metropolitanos	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Estudiantes Merida	6	1	0	5	2:8	3