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Estudiantes Merida vs Zamora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Metropolitano de Mérida, Mérida
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Madera J.
33'
Mosquera J.
38'
Celis R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Estudiantes Merida and Zamora finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estudiantes Merida.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Estudiantes Merida
30%
Draws
31%
Zamora
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estudiantes Merida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estudiantes Merida come out ahead of Zamora on wins alone.
  • Model gives Estudiantes Merida a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Estudiantes Merida Clean Sheet 68%
Zamora Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes Merida Zamora
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Zamora
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Estudiantes Merida
3:2
Jul 12, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Zamora
2:1
Feb 2, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Estudiantes Merida
2:1
Jan 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Estudiantes Merida vs Zamora
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes Merida Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Zamora Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes Merida 68 / 100
Zamora 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes Merida Zamora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estudiantes Merida Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes Merida found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Zamora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Estudiantes Merida has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes Merida VS Zamora
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes Merida

(Home)
20 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1
Trujillanos
16 Sept
Portuguesa
2 : 1
Estudiantes Merida
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0
Dep. Tachira
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1
Universidad Central
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Zamora

(Away)
07 Oct
Zamora
0 : 0
Atletico Barinas
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 3
Metropolitanos
16 Sept
Monagas
1 : 0
Zamora
13 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
Trujillanos
09 Sept
Real Frontera
0 : 2
Zamora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 11 9 1 1 24:9 28
2 Dep. Tachira 11 7 2 2 24:14 23
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 11 5 4 2 15:9 19
4 Carabobo 11 5 3 3 12:8 18
5 Portuguesa 11 4 5 2 14:12 17
6 Deportivo La Guaira 11 5 1 5 21:16 16
7 Estudiantes Merida 11 4 4 3 12:12 16
8 Universidad Central 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
9 Monagas 11 4 2 5 12:13 14
10 Caracas 11 2 5 4 9:14 11
11 Rayo Zuliano 11 3 2 6 17:23 11
12 Trujillanos 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
13 Zamora 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 11 1 2 8 6:20 5
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)