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Estudiantil CNI vs Comerciantes FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Max Augustin, Iquitos
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Martinez J.
17' Event
Perlaza V.
19' Event
Bueno P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Estudiantil CNI
30%
Draws
31%
Comerciantes FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estudiantil CNI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Comerciantes FC lately — more wins on the board than Estudiantil CNI.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Estudiantil CNI Clean Sheet 68%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantil CNI Comerciantes FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 12
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga 2
Estudiantil CNI vs Comerciantes FC
2:2
Jun 27, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Comerciantes FC vs Estudiantil CNI
0:0
May 3, 2026 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Estudiantil CNI
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantil CNI Compare

Top Goalscorer Bueno P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Comerciantes FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Perlaza V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arakaki H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantil CNI 41 / 100
Comerciantes FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantil CNI Comerciantes FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estudiantil CNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Estudiantil CNI scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Comerciantes FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Estudiantil CNI remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantil CNI VS Comerciantes FC
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantil CNI

(Home)
07 Oct
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 3
Cesar Vallejo
12 Sept
Estudiantil CNI
1 : 1
Tacna Heroica
05 Sept
Santos FC
4 : 1
Estudiantil CNI
29 Aug
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
21 Aug
Sport Huancayo 2
1 : 0
Estudiantil CNI
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Comerciantes FC

(Away)
07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0
Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
Comerciantes FC
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1
Ayacucho
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2
Union Minas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)