Sport Picks

Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Max Augustin

Sporting Cristal

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estudiantil CNI play Sporting Cristal in the Copa de la Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Estudiantil CNI averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Sporting Cristal averaged 1.51 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Estudiantil CNI won 1, Sporting Cristal won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Estudiantil CNI and 1.31 for Sporting Cristal. This points to a Sporting Cristal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Estudiantil CNI

18%

Draws

49%

Sporting Cristal

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Estudiantil CNI picked up more points recently compared to Sporting Cristal.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Estudiantil CNI Clean Sheet 18%

Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Estudiantil CNI	Sporting Cristal
Matches Played	30	39
Wins	9	17
Draws	5	7
Losses	16	15
Goals Scored	1.03	1.51
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Copa de la Liga

Estudiantil CNI vs Sporting Cristal

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Nov 6, 2011 Liga 1

Estudiantil CNI vs Sporting Cristal

Possession: 40% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

May 11, 2011 Liga 1

Sporting Cristal vs Estudiantil CNI

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Nov 21, 2010 Liga 1

Estudiantil CNI vs Sporting Cristal

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 4 - 2

0:2

Oct 17, 2010 Liga 1

Sporting Cristal vs Estudiantil CNI

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantil CNI Compare

Top Goalscorer Santillan Vargas E. M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sporting Cristal Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel

1 Goals

Assists Leader Wisdom I.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantil CNI 33 / 100

Sporting Cristal 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Estudiantil CNI Sporting Cristal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sporting Cristal or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Estudiantil CNI attacking → ← attacking Sporting Cristal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantil CNI scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Sporting Cristal let in goals in 72% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Estudiantil CNI went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Cristal lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 58

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Atl.	3	3	0	0	5:1	9
2	Carlos Mannucci	3	2	0	1	6:4	6
3	A. Lima	3	0	1	2	2:5	1
4	Cesar Vallejo	3	0	1	2	2:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ADA Jaen	2	1	1	0	2:0	4
2	Juan Pablo II	2	0	2	0	0:0	2
3	Comerciantes Unidos	2	0	1	1	0:2	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cajamarca	2	1	1	0	5:3	4
2	Llacuabamba	2	0	2	0	3:3	2
3	FC Cajamarca	2	0	1	1	2:4	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Grau	2	1	1	0	4:3	4
2	Pirata	2	1	0	1	4:3	3
3	Universitario de Deportes	2	0	1	1	1:3	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sport Huancayo	3	2	1	0	4:2	7
2	AD Tarma	3	1	1	1	3:2	4
3	Alianza Huanuco	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Union Minas	3	0	1	2	2:5	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cienciano	3	3	0	0	6:2	9
2	Deportivo Garcilaso	3	1	1	1	5:3	4
3	Binacional	3	1	0	2	5:9	3
4	Cusco	3	0	1	2	4:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Los Chankas	2	2	0	4:0	6
2	Santos FC	2	1	1	2:4	3
3	Ayacucho	2	0	2	1:3	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Moquegua	2	1	1	0	3:2	4
2	Tacna Heroica	2	1	0	1	5:5	3
3	FBC Melgar	2	0	1	1	2:3	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sport Boys	2	1	1	0	5:2	4
2	AD Cantolao	2	1	0	1	4:6	3
3	U. San Martin	2	0	1	1	5:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sporting Cristal	3	2	1	0	5:2	7
2	Comerciantes FC	3	1	2	0	2:1	5
3	Union Comercio	3	1	0	2	3:4	3
4	Estudiantil CNI	3	0	1	2	2:5	1