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Eswatini U20 vs Malawi U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

COSAFA Championship U20 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The COSAFA Championship U20 2017 game between Eswatini U20 and Malawi U20 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malawi U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Eswatini U20
15%
Draws
51%
Malawi U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malawi U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Malawi U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Malawi U20's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Eswatini U20 Clean Sheet 12%
Malawi U20 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eswatini U20 Malawi U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Eswatini U20 vs Malawi U20
1:1
Mar 31, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Malawi U20 vs Eswatini U20
0:0
Dec 6, 2017 COSAFA Championship U20
Eswatini U20 vs Malawi U20
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eswatini U20 11 / 100
Malawi U20 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eswatini U20 Malawi U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malawi U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malawi U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Eswatini U20 found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Eswatini U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eswatini U20 VS Malawi U20
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Eswatini U20

(Home)
23 Sept
South Africa U20
2 : 0
Eswatini U20
21 Sept
Eswatini U20
3 : 2
Lesotho U20
19 Sept
Angola U20
4 : 0
Eswatini U20
22 Nov
Eswatini U20
0 : 2
Lesotho U20
22 Nov
Eswatini U20
2 : 0
Mozambique U20
Page 1 of 6

Malawi U20

(Away)
23 Sept
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Comoros U20
21 Sept
Botswana U20
0 : 3
Malawi U20
18 Sept
Zambia U20
2 : 0
Malawi U20
13 Jul
South Africa U20
3 : 0
Malawi U20
11 Jul
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Zambia U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda U20 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
2 Malawi U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Zambia U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Eswatini U20 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa U20 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Egypt U20 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Mozambique U20 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
4 Mauritius U20 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lesotho U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Zimbabwe U20 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Namibia U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Angola U20 3 0 1 2 0:2 1
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - COSAFA Championship U20 2017 (Play Offs)