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Eswatini U23 vs Botswana U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eswatini U23 in this Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Eswatini U23
15%
Draws
48%
Botswana U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botswana U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Botswana U23 lately — more wins on the board than Eswatini U23.
  • Botswana U23 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Botswana U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Eswatini U23, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Eswatini U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Botswana U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eswatini U23 Botswana U23
Matches Played 8 7
Wins 3 4
Draws 2 0
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 1 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Friendly International
Botswana U23 vs Eswatini U23
1:2
Sep 20, 2026 Friendly International
Botswana U23 vs Eswatini U23
5:1
Sep 27, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Botswana U23 vs Eswatini U23
2:1
Sep 23, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Eswatini U23 vs Botswana U23
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eswatini U23 19 / 100
Botswana U23 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eswatini U23 Botswana U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botswana U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botswana U23 let in goals in 100% of their last 7 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Eswatini U23 scored in 75% of their last 8 games.

Eswatini U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eswatini U23 VS Botswana U23
1 Goals Scored 1.71
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.43
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Eswatini U23

(Home)
06 Oct
Eswatini U23
1 : 1
Malawi U23
29 Sept
Malawi U23
0 : 1
Eswatini U23
21 Sept
Botswana U23
1 : 2
Eswatini U23
20 Sept
Botswana U23
5 : 1
Eswatini U23
30 Oct
Egypt U23
1 : 0
Eswatini U23
Page 1 of 2

Botswana U23

(Away)
06 Oct
Botswana U23
2 : 1
Seychelles U23
02 Oct
Seychelles U23
1 : 2
Botswana U23
30 Sept
Botswana U23
0 : 2
Mozambique U23
21 Sept
Botswana U23
1 : 2
Eswatini U23
20 Sept
Botswana U23
5 : 1
Eswatini U23
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1