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Etar II vs Kom Berkovitsa

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West game between Etar II and Kom Berkovitsa finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Etar II
35%
Draws
40%
Kom Berkovitsa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kom Berkovitsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Kom Berkovitsa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Third League - North-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Etar II Clean Sheet 11%
Kom Berkovitsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etar II Kom Berkovitsa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.45 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Kom Berkovitsa
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Third League - North-West
Kom Berkovitsa vs Etar II
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Kom Berkovitsa
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Third League - North-West
Kom Berkovitsa vs Etar II
3:0
Oct 5, 2024 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Kom Berkovitsa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etar II 29 / 100
Kom Berkovitsa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etar II Kom Berkovitsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etar II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Etar II scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Kom Berkovitsa let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Etar II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Etar II VS Kom Berkovitsa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Etar II

(Home)
12 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
1 : 0
Etar II
05 Sept
Etar II
3 : 0
Juventus Malchika
30 Aug
Akademik Svishtov
3 : 2
Etar II
22 Aug
Etar II
2 : 2
Kom Berkovitsa
22 May
Yantra Polski Trambesh
0 : 0
Etar II
Page 1 of 6

Kom Berkovitsa

(Away)
19 Sept
Pavlikeni
1 : 4
Kom Berkovitsa
12 Sept
Kom Berkovitsa
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven II
05 Sept
Lokomotiv Mezdra
4 : 0
Kom Berkovitsa
29 Aug
Kom Berkovitsa
2 : 2
Yantra Polski Trambesh
22 Aug
Etar II
2 : 2
Kom Berkovitsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
2 Akademik Svishtov 5 3 2 0 9:2 11
3 Chavdar Troyan 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
4 Yantra Polski Trambesh 5 2 2 1 14:7 8
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
6 Kom Berkovitsa 5 2 2 1 10:10 8
7 Sevlievo 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 Bdin Vidin 5 2 0 3 9:10 6
9 Etar II 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
10 OFK Levski 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
11 Pavlikeni 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
12 Spartak Pleven II 5 0 2 3 6:13 2
13 Juventus Malchika 4 0 0 4 0:16 -3
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)