Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Etar II vs Partizan Cerven Brjag

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etar II play Partizan Cerven Brjag in the Third League - North-West. It looks like a close match. Recently, Etar II averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Partizan Cerven Brjag averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Etar II won 2, Partizan Cerven Brjag won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 9, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Etar II and 1.69 for Partizan Cerven Brjag. This points to a Etar II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Etar II
15%
Draws
41%
Partizan Cerven Brjag
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etar II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Etar II picked up more points recently compared to Partizan Cerven Brjag.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Etar II Clean Sheet 13%
Partizan Cerven Brjag Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etar II Partizan Cerven Brjag
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Third League - North-West
Partizan Cerven Brjag vs Etar II
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Partizan Cerven Brjag
3:0
Apr 18, 2025 Third League - North-West
Partizan Cerven Brjag vs Etar II
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Partizan Cerven Brjag
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 Third League - North-West
Partizan Cerven Brjag vs Etar II
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etar II 42 / 100
Partizan Cerven Brjag 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etar II Partizan Cerven Brjag

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Etar II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Etar II attacking → ← attacking Partizan Cerven Brjag

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etar II scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Partizan Cerven Brjag let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Etar II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Partizan Cerven Brjag lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 35
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lokomotiv Mezdra22191262:2058
2Akademik Svishtov22173240:1154
3Kom Berkovitsa22136346:2245
4Bdin Vidin22141757:2643
5Partizan Cerven Brjag2286825:2530
6Pavlikeni22931029:2430
7Etar II2285932:3129
8Yantra Polski Trambesh22661037:4724
9OFK Levski22651132:3523
10Troyan22511620:5616
11Juventus Malchika22211914:724
12FC Lovech22601618:4318