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Etar II vs Troyan

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2025/2026 game between Etar II and Troyan finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Etar II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Etar II
20%
Draws
30%
Troyan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etar II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Etar II come out ahead of Troyan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Etar II's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Etar II Clean Sheet 15%
Troyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etar II Troyan
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 1
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.45 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Third League - North-West
Troyan vs Etar II
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Troyan
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etar II 66 / 100
Troyan 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etar II Troyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etar II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Troyan let in goals in 82% of their last 22 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Etar II found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Etar II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Etar II VS Troyan
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Etar II

(Home)
12 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
1 : 0
Etar II
05 Sept
Etar II
3 : 0
Juventus Malchika
30 Aug
Akademik Svishtov
3 : 2
Etar II
22 Aug
Etar II
2 : 2
Kom Berkovitsa
22 May
Yantra Polski Trambesh
0 : 0
Etar II
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Troyan

(Away)
23 May
OFK Levski
3 : 1
Troyan
16 May
Troyan
1 : 0
Yantra Polski Trambesh
09 May
Troyan
0 : 1
Pavlikeni
03 May
Kom Berkovitsa
4 : 1
Troyan
25 Apr
Troyan
1 : 4
Lokomotiv Mezdra
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)