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Etar vs Cherno More

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cherno More in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cherno More.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Etar
20%
Draws
30%
Cherno More
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Etar have won more games recently than Cherno More.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cherno More here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Etar Clean Sheet 20%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etar Cherno More
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.89 1
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Etar
3:0
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Etar vs Cherno More
0:6
Jul 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Etar
4:1
Dec 2, 2023 efbet League
Etar vs Cherno More
1:2
Aug 4, 2023 efbet League
Cherno More vs Etar
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etar 31 / 100
Cherno More 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etar Cherno More

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Etar found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Solid form: Etar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Cherno More has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Etar VS Cherno More
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Etar

(Home)
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1
Etar
29 Aug
Etar
2 : 2
Beroe
21 Aug
Gorna
2 : 1
Etar
15 Aug
Etar
1 : 1
Rilski Sportist
07 Aug
Etar
1 : 0
Marek
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Cherno More

(Away)
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1
Dunav Ruse
14 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
4 : 1
Cherno More
09 Aug
Cherno More
2 : 3
Ludogorets
01 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
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