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Etar vs Cherno More

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cherno More in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cherno More.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Etar
40%
Draws
29%
Cherno More
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Cherno More have won more games recently than Etar.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cherno More here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Etar Clean Sheet 14%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etar Cherno More
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Etar
3:0
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
Etar vs Cherno More
0:6
Jul 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Cherno More vs Etar
4:1
Dec 2, 2023 efbet League
Etar vs Cherno More
1:2
Aug 4, 2023 efbet League
Cherno More vs Etar
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etar 31 / 100
Cherno More 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etar Cherno More

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Etar found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (25 games).

Defensive concern: Cherno More conceded in 39% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Etar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Etar VS Cherno More
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%