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Etar vs CSKA Sofia II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Ivajlo Stadion, Veliko Tarnovo
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Match Events

6'
Ivanov L.
15'
Vasilev V.
19' Event
Dobrev S.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga 2025/2026 game between Etar and CSKA Sofia II finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Etar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Etar
33%
Draws
27%
CSKA Sofia II
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Etar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSKA Sofia II come out ahead of Etar on wins alone.
  • Model gives Etar a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Vtora liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Etar have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Etar Clean Sheet 10%
CSKA Sofia II Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etar CSKA Sofia II
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Vtora liga
Etar vs CSKA Sofia II
3:1
Sep 23, 2025 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Etar
4:1
May 3, 2025 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Etar
0:3
Nov 3, 2024 Vtora liga
Etar vs CSKA Sofia II
3:2
Apr 30, 2017 Vtora liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Etar
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etar Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobrev S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stoyanchov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

CSKA Sofia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etar 38 / 100
CSKA Sofia II 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etar CSKA Sofia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Etar scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Etar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

CSKA Sofia II let in goals in 48% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Etar VS CSKA Sofia II
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Etar

(Home)
18 Jul
Etar
8 : 0
Sevlievo
11 Jul
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 3
Etar
04 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 2
Etar
26 Jun
Ludogorets
7 : 4
Etar
23 Jun
Levski Sofia
6 : 0
Etar
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CSKA Sofia II

(Away)
11 Jul
Rilski Sportist
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia II
01 Jul
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 1
Montana
27 Jun
CSKA Sofia II
2 : 1
Svoge
23 May
Gorna
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
11 May
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
CSKA Sofia II
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dunav Ruse32209353:1669
2Yantra Gabrovo321810445:2464
3Fratria32189561:2963
4Vihren32177859:3458
5CSKA Sofia II32167957:3255
6Chernomorets 1919321113838:3246
7Etar3211111039:4344
8Ludogorets II321181341:4341
9Marek3210111127:3541
10Hebar321171441:5140
11Pirin Blagoevgrad329111238:4138
12Spartak Pleven32981537:4535
13Svoge32971628:4834
14Gorna32891533:5233
15Sevlievo32951829:5232
16Minyor Pernik32791632:4530
17Belasitsa Petrich32472126:6219
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