Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Etar vs Ludogorets II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Ivajlo Stadion, Veliko Tarnovo
Our Tip

Match Events

53'
Ivanov R.
57'
Sub
Ivanov R. In: Stefanov M.
Out: Ivanov R.
57'
Sub
Nikolov K. In: Avila Gordon G.
Out: Nikolov K.

AI Match Summary

Etar in this Vtora liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Etar
30%
Draws
39%
Ludogorets II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ludogorets II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Etar have won more games recently than Ludogorets II.
  • Ludogorets II are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Etar Clean Sheet 17%
Ludogorets II Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etar Ludogorets II
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.96 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Vtora liga
Etar vs Ludogorets II
1:0
Nov 28, 2025 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Etar
0:1
May 18, 2025 Vtora liga
Etar vs Ludogorets II
1:1
Nov 25, 2024 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Etar
0:2
Jul 5, 2024 Club Friendly
Ludogorets II vs Etar
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etar Compare

Top Goalscorer Markov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ludogorets II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etar 15 / 100
Ludogorets II 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etar Ludogorets II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etar found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Ludogorets II let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Etar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Etar VS Ludogorets II
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Etar

(Home)
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1
Etar
29 Aug
Etar
2 : 2
Beroe
Page 1 of 6

Ludogorets II

(Away)
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Ludogorets II
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
29 Aug
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Hebar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
Promotion - efbet League (Main)
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)