Sport Picks
Etar vs Rilski Sportist - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Vtora liga Ivajlo Stadion, Veliko Tarnovo 
Match Events
13'
13'
Pemperski A.
33'
33'
Markov I.
36'
36'
Todorov P.
AI Match Summary
The Vtora liga game between Etar and Rilski Sportist finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rilski Sportist
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rilski Sportist carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Rilski Sportist a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Etar Clean Sheet 10%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Etar | Rilski Sportist |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.96 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Vtora liga
Etar vs Rilski Sportist
1:1
May 1, 2010 B PFG West
Rilski Sportist vs Etar
1:1
Nov 14, 2009 B PFG West
Etar vs Rilski Sportist
2:0
Apr 18, 2009 B PFG West
Rilski Sportist vs Etar
2:1
Sep 20, 2008 B PFG West
Etar vs Rilski Sportist
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Etar Compare
Top Goalscorer Pemperski A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Rilski Sportist Compare
Top Goalscorer Dimitrov I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Etar 10 / 100
Rilski Sportist 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Etar Rilski Sportist
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rilski Sportist Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Etar scored in 81% of their last 27 games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Rilski Sportist let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.
Etar has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Etar VS Rilski Sportist
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Etar
(Home) 03 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 3 Etar
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4 Chernomorets 1919
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1 Etar
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0 CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1 Etar
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4 Chernomorets 1919
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0 CSKA Sofia II
29 Aug
Etar
2 : 2 Beroe
15 Aug
Etar
1 : 1 Rilski Sportist
07 Aug
Etar
1 : 0 Marek
Page 1 of 3
Rilski Sportist
(Away) 04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4 Rilski Sportist
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3 Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 0 Yantra Gabrovo
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1 Rilski Sportist
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4 Rilski Sportist
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3 Rilski Sportist
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1 Rilski Sportist
29 Aug
Dobrudzha
0 : 0 Rilski Sportist
15 Aug
Etar
1 : 1 Rilski Sportist
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25:11 | 24 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23:9 | 23 |
| 3 | Fratria | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17:8 | 22 |
| 4 | Chernomorets 1919 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:8 | 21 |
| 5 | Beroe | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:12 | 18 |
| 6 | Rilski Sportist | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 7 | Nesebar | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20:17 | 17 |
| 8 | Gorna | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | 16 |
| 9 | Yantra Gabrovo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12:11 | 16 |
| 10 | Hebar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Etar | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Marek | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | 14 |
| 13 | Spartak Pleven | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11:22 | 13 |
| 14 | Ludogorets II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | 12 |
| 15 | Montana | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:23 | 11 |
| 16 | Svoge | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Dobrudzha | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4:33 | 0 |
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)
