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Ethio Electric S.C. vs Fasil Kenema

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethio Electric S.C. play Fasil Kenema in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ethio Electric S.C. averaged 0.87 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. Fasil Kenema averaged 0.7 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Ethio Electric S.C. won 2, Fasil Kenema won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Ethio Electric S.C. and 1.06 for Fasil Kenema. This points to a Fasil Kenema double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Ethio Electric S.C.
24%
Draws
38%
Fasil Kenema
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Fasil Kenema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethio Electric S.C. picked up more points recently compared to Fasil Kenema.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Ethio Electric S.C. Clean Sheet 22%
Fasil Kenema Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 41%
Second Half Goal 44%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethio Electric S.C. Fasil Kenema
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.87 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Fasil Kenema
3:1
Dec 29, 2025 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Ethio Electric S.C.
1:0
Jun 10, 2025 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Fasil Kenema
0:1
Nov 5, 2024 Premier League
Fasil Kenema vs Ethio Electric S.C.
2:3
Jun 30, 2023 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Fasil Kenema
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ethio Electric S.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Medhin B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tiruneh A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Fasil Kenema Compare

Top Goalscorer Gizaw B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethio Electric S.C. 39 / 100
Fasil Kenema 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethio Electric S.C. Fasil Kenema

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fasil Kenema or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +26.1%
4.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ethio Electric S.C. attacking → ← attacking Fasil Kenema

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethio Electric S.C. scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Fasil Kenema let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ethio Electric S.C. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fasil Kenema lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 39
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635