Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Adama City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) host Adama City in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) at 1.1 goals for, 1.14 against; Adama City at 1 for, 1.18 against. Head-to-head, Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) have won 2 to Adama City's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (0.88 - 0.75) back Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
30%
Draws
37%
Adama City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Adama City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Clean Sheet 20%
Adama City Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Adama City
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 12
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Adama City
3:2
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League
Adama City vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1:0
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Adama City
2:0
Nov 29, 2024 Premier League
Adama City vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
2:1
Apr 14, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Adama City
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 42 / 100
Adama City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Adama City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Adama City let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) VS Adama City
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)

(Home)
21 Oct
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0 : 3
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
17 Oct
St. Georges
1 : 2
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
11 Oct
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0 : 1
Sheger Ketema FC
03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
26 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3 : 0
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
Page 1 of 6

Adama City

(Away)
16 Oct
Adama City
0 : 0
Sheger Ketema FC
09 Oct
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 1
Adama City
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3
Adama City
28 Jun
Adama City
0 : 2
Welayta Dicha
21 Jun
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 0
Adama City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Halaba Ketema FC 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
4 Ethiopian Insurance 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
5 Adama City 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 Ethio Electric S.C. 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
7 Sheger Ketema FC 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
8 Mechal SC 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Bahir Dar Kenema 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
11 Welayta Dicha 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
12 Fasil Kenema 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 St. Georges 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
15 Hawassa 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Hadiya Hossana 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
17 Sidama Bunna 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gamo Chencha FC 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)