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Stadium Background

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Hawassa

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Nwachukwu D.
90' Event
Kebede G.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) and Hawassa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
22%
Draws
18%
Hawassa
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Hawassa haven't matched Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)'s recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Clean Sheet 68%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Hawassa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 11 13
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Premier League
Hawassa vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Hawassa
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Premier League
Hawassa vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0:0
Oct 2, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Hawassa
3:1
Apr 5, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Hawassa
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Compare

Top Goalscorer Nwachukwu D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hawassa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kebede G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 68 / 100
Hawassa 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Hawassa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Hawassa let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) VS Hawassa
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635