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Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Police FC

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 Addis Abeba Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Mangeni A.
90' Event
Okoth D.

AI Match Summary

The CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 game between Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) and Police FC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Police FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
33%
Draws
27%
Police FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Police FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Police FC have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Clean Sheet 68%
Police FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Police FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 14
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2025 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Police FC
0:2
Aug 25, 2024 CAF Confederation Cup
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Police FC
0:1
Aug 18, 2024 CAF Confederation Cup
Police FC vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Police FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mangeni A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okoth D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 50 / 100
Police FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Police FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Police FC has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) VS Police FC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Singida Black Stars32103:17
2Police FC32017:26
3Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)31116:24
4Garde-Cotes30030:110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APR32105:17
2Kinondoni MC32105:37
3Mlandege31025:53
4Bumamuru30030:60
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman31205:35
2Mogadishu City31203:25
3Madani30212:32
4Kator30211:32