Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Welayta Dicha

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Shumbeza E.
77'
Bogale M.
77'
Bogale M.

AI Match Summary

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
30%
Draws
34%
Welayta Dicha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) at 1.13 per game, Welayta Dicha at 0.88.
  • Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Clean Sheet 68%
Welayta Dicha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Welayta Dicha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 15
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0:0
Feb 6, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Welayta Dicha
1:0
May 11, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Welayta Dicha
1:0
Oct 21, 2024 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
2:1
May 11, 2024 Premier League
Welayta Dicha vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Compare

Top Goalscorer Shumbeza E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Welayta Dicha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 46 / 100
Welayta Dicha 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Welayta Dicha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Welayta Dicha has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) VS Welayta Dicha
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635