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Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Insurance - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethiopia Nigd Bank host Ethiopian Insurance in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Ethiopia Nigd Bank have averaged 1.14 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Ethiopian Insurance's 0.89 scored and 0.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Ethiopia Nigd Bank slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.88) point toward Ethiopia Nigd Bank. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
30%
Draws
23%
Ethiopian Insurance
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethiopia Nigd Bank carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Ethiopia Nigd Bank taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Clean Sheet 20%
Ethiopian Insurance Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopian Insurance
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 13
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.14 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2:1
Dec 31, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Insurance
2:1
Mar 11, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2:1
Nov 28, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Insurance
1:1
Jul 6, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 40 / 100
Ethiopian Insurance 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopian Insurance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia Nigd Bank Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ethiopia Nigd Bank scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ethiopian Insurance conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ethiopia Nigd Bank stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia Nigd Bank VS Ethiopian Insurance
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia Nigd Bank

(Home)
22 Oct
Hawassa
1 : 1
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
18 Oct
Mechal SC
0 : 1
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
11 Oct
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
03 Jul
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 2
Bahir Dar Kenema
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Page 1 of 6

Ethiopian Insurance

(Away)
17 Oct
Hawassa
1 : 1
Ethiopian Insurance
11 Oct
Gamo Chencha FC
0 : 2
Ethiopian Insurance
01 Jul
Fasil Kenema
1 : 0
Ethiopian Insurance
27 Jun
Ethiopian Insurance
0 : 3
Shire Endaselassie
21 Jun
Mechal SC
1 : 0
Ethiopian Insurance
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Bahir Dar Kenema 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Mechal SC 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
4 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
5 Halaba Ketema FC 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
6 Adama City 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
7 Ethiopian Insurance 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
8 Ethio Electric S.C. 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
9 Sheger Ketema FC 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
10 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
11 Fasil Kenema 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
12 St. Georges 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
13 Hawassa 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
14 Welayta Dicha 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
15 Welwalo Adigrat 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
16 Hadiya Hossana 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
17 Sidama Bunna 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gamo Chencha FC 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)