Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ethiopia U17 vs D.R. Congo U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CAF African Championship U17 2011 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ethiopia U17
15%
Draws
0%
D.R. Congo U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethiopia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • D.R. Congo U17 haven't matched Ethiopia U17's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ethiopia U17's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Ethiopia U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Ethiopia U17 Clean Sheet 17%
D.R. Congo U17 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia U17 D.R. Congo U17
Matches Played 16 10
Wins 6 1
Draws 3 1
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.25 0.3
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
D.R. Congo U17 vs Ethiopia U17
1:0
Apr 11, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Ethiopia U17 vs D.R. Congo U17
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia U17 66 / 100
D.R. Congo U17 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia U17 D.R. Congo U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

D.R. Congo U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 9 matches.

Away concern: D.R. Congo U17 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ethiopia U17 scored in 69% of their last 16 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia U17 VS D.R. Congo U17
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia U17

(Home)
23 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Mozambique U17
19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1
Ethiopia U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
13 May
Egypt U17
0 : 0
Ethiopia U17
02 Oct
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 4

D.R. Congo U17

(Away)
19 May
Cameroon U17
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
16 May
D.R. Congo U17
0 : 1
Ivory Coast U17
13 May
Uganda U17
3 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
24 Jun
D.R. Congo U17
:
Chad U17
02 Aug
Nigeria U17
4 : 0
D.R. Congo U17
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U17 -
TBD -
Kenya U17 1
Somalia U17 3
Tunisia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudan U17 -
Morocco U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Gambia U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Gabon U17 2
Chad U17 2
TBD -
Algeria U17 -
Nigeria U17 -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea U17 0
Congo U17 4
Ghana U17 -
TBD -
Uganda U17 3
Zambia U17 1
Guinea U17 -
TBD -
Liberia U17 1
Senegal U17 2
Reunion U17 8
Comoros U17 2
TBD -
Angola U17 -
South Africa U17 5
Namibia U17 0
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
TBD -
Mozambique U17 1
Lesotho U17 5
D.R. Congo U17 2
Ethiopia U17 1
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U17 7
Somalia U17 2
Tunisia U17 6
Sudan U17 3
Morocco U17 2
Gambia U17 3
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
Benin U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 1
Gabon U17 2
Algeria U17 1
Nigeria U17 1
Congo U17 3
Ghana U17 3
Zambia U17 2
Guinea U17 4
Senegal U17 4
Reunion U17 5
Angola U17 2
South Africa U17 4
Burkina Faso U17 4
Cameroon U17 7
Lesotho U17 2
D.R. Congo U17 1
Mali U17 6
Final
TBD -
Egypt U17 -
Tunisia U17 3
Gambia U17 3
Sierra Leone U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 4
Gabon U17 4
Congo U17 3
Ghana U17 6
Senegal U17 5
Reunion U17 1
Burkina Faso U17 3
Cameroon U17 0
Mali U17 4